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Deportivo Riestra crestDeportivo Riestra
v
Gremio crestGremio

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Tue 05 May, 23:00

Deportivo Riestra v Gremio Stats

BT4Y best bet

Deportivo Riestra or Gremio to Win

  • At 1.83, Deportivo Riestra or Gremio to Win is priced at roughly 55% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 82%, so the current line is showing a +27.4-point value edge.
  • Deportivo Riestra have a recent record of 1W-1D-1L, while Gremio come in at 1W-1D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Deportivo Riestra or Gremio to Win angle: Deportivo Riestra have taken 1 win from their last 3 matches, averaging 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Deportivo Riestra or Gremio to Win angle: Gremio have taken 1 win from their last 3 matches, with BTTS landing in 0% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.83, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 51% · edge +3 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.9
Bet HERE @ 2.9
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

33%Deportivo Riestra Over 2.5
0%Gremio Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Deportivo Riestra

WLD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
29 Apr 2026H Atletico Torque2-1
14 Apr 2026A Gremio0-1
08 Apr 2026H Palestino0-0

Gremio

DWL
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
30 Apr 2026A Palestino0-0
14 Apr 2026H Deportivo Riestra1-0
09 Apr 2026A Atletico Torque0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 51% · edge +3 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.9
Bet HERE @ 2.9
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Deportivo Riestra0.67
Avg goals scored
Gremio0.33
Deportivo Riestra0.67
Avg goals conceded
Gremio0.33
Deportivo Riestra33%
BTTS rate
Gremio0%
Deportivo Riestra33%
Over 2.5 goals
Gremio0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 65% · edge +2.6 pts
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
6.5
Bet HERE @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Deportivo Riestra wins
0Draws
1Gremio wins
14 Apr 2026Gremio v Deportivo Riestra1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 37% · edge +6.9 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.9
Bet HERE @ 2.9
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Deportivo Riestra3.33
Avg corners for
Gremio3.33
Deportivo Riestra9
Avg total corners
Gremio7
Deportivo Riestra1.67
Avg yellow cards
Gremio3
Deportivo Riestra8.67
Avg shots
Gremio11.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleF. Amuzu Anytime GoalscorerF. Amuzu · 2 goals · 2.5 SOT/90
79/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
André Henrique 1+ Shot On TargetAndré Henrique · 4.5 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
André Henrique 2+ ShotsAndré Henrique · 4.5 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Gabriel Mec To Be FouledGabriel Mec · 6.25 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
G. Obredor Card RiskG. Obredor · 1 yellows · 4.45 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
F. Amuzu
F. AmuzuGremio · Attacker
Goal threat74/100
Shots /903.75
SOT /902.5
André Henrique
André HenriqueGremio · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /904.5
SOT /904.5
M. Braithwaite
M. BraithwaiteGremio · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /900.94
C. Pavón
C. PavónGremio · Defender
Goal threat27/100
Shots /901.33
SOT /901
G. Obredor
G. ObredorDeportivo Riestra · Attacker
Goal threat22/100
Shots /901.98
SOT /900.49
M. Monsalve
M. MonsalveGremio · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Wagner Leonardo
Wagner LeonardoGremio · Defender
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Deportivo Riestra4
Played
Gremio4
Deportivo Riestra0.5
Avg goals for
Gremio1
Deportivo Riestra1.3
Avg goals against
Gremio0.3
Deportivo Riestra1
Clean sheets
Gremio3
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 51% · edge +3 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Gremio742113
3Deportivo Riestra44112-3

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.