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Croatia U19 crestCroatia U19
v
Ukraine U19 crestUkraine U19

UEFA U19 Championship | Mon 29 Jun, 20:00

Croatia U19 v Ukraine U19 Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 07:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Croatia U19 face Ukraine U19 in UEFA U19 Championship on Mon 29 Jun, 20:00. A Group B opener with sharp edges and very little room for chaos. With both teams boasting four wins and a draw in their last five matches alongside stubborn backlines, a stalemated outcome is highly probable.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Of Under 2

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 55%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.83, Of Under 2 implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Both sides arrive with exceptional defensive records.
Price warning

Of Under 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 55% while the model sits nearer 43% (-11.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Ukraine U19 Draw No Bet shows a +10.2 pts edge at 2.42.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Of Under 2 sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Both sides arrive with exceptional defensive records.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Negative
Both sides arrive with exceptional defensive records.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -11.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Croatia U19 Win is the preferred angle because both sides arrive with exceptional defensive records. That makes them one of the most awkward types of opponent in tournament football: a team that can score freely against weaker opposition but does not need chaos to survive.

Main risk

That makes them one of the most awkward types of opponent in tournament football: a team that can score freely against weaker opposition but does not need chaos to survive.

Key Data Signals

Of Under 2 evidence

Both sides arrive with exceptional defensive records.

What To Watch In The Data

Of Under 2 notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCroatia U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 55% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Croatia U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Croatia U19 to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Croatia U19-
    Avg goals scored
    Ukraine U19-
    Croatia U19-
    Avg goals conceded
    Ukraine U19-
    Croatia U19-
    BTTS rate
    Ukraine U19-
    Croatia U19-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Ukraine U19-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Croatia U19

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Croatia U19 yet.

    Ukraine U19

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Ukraine U19 yet.

    Market aligned with main pickCroatia U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 55% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Croatia U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Croatia U19 wins
    0Draws
    0Ukraine U19 wins
    Market aligned with main pickCroatia U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 55% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Croatia U19 to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    UEFA U19 Championship

    Croatia U194
    Played
    Ukraine U194
    Croatia U191
    Avg goals for
    Ukraine U191.8
    Croatia U191.5
    Avg goals against
    Ukraine U191
    Croatia U192
    Clean sheets
    Ukraine U191
    Market aligned with main pickCroatia U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 55% · edge -11.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Croatia U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.52
    Check odds @ 1.52
    Season data supports Croatia U19 to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Croatia U19 Over 2.5
    -Ukraine U19 Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Both sides arrive with exceptional defensive records.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.