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Brechin crestBrechin
v
Livingston crestLivingston

League Cup | Tue 14 Jul, 19:45

Brechin v Livingston Stats

Data last updated: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 10:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brechin face Livingston in League Cup on Tue 14 Jul, 19:45. Brechin City face Livingston at Glebe Park in the League Cup. Brechin are unbeaten in their last six home matches, winning four and drawing two while conceding only twice. Pressure, Possession and a Test of Nerve at Glebe Park.

BT4Y best bet

2: Livingston to Win 3-0 (10/1) For those exploring higher-return brackets, the historic trend at Glebe Park points toward a specific correct score

  • At 10/1, 2: Livingston to Win 3-0 (10/1) For those exploring higher-return brackets, the historic trend at Glebe Park points toward a specific correct score implies roughly 9%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 24%.
  • Livingston are heavy favourites due to their Premiership status, but Brechin's strong home record makes an upset possible.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 24% for 2: Livingston to Win 3-0 (10/1) For those exploring higher-return brackets, the historic trend at Glebe Park points toward a specific correct score sits against roughly 9% implied by the current price. Livingston are heavy favourites due to their Premiership status, but Brechin's strong home record makes an upset possible.

Model chance vs price24% model chance against roughly 9% implied
Strong positive
Livingston are heavy favourites due to their Premiership status.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brechin Win is the preferred angle because livingston are heavy favourites due to their Premiership status, but Brechin's strong home record makes an upset possible. Pretending otherwise would be football’s version of wearing flip-flops in a Scottish downpour: optimistic, but not especially sensible.

Main risk

Pretending otherwise would be football’s version of wearing flip-flops in a Scottish downpour: optimistic, but not especially sensible.

Key Data Signals

2: Livingston to Win 3-0 (10/1) For those exploring higher-return brackets, the historic trend at Glebe Park points toward a specific correct score evidence

Livingston are heavy favourites due to their Premiership status, but Brechin's strong home record makes an upset possible.

What To Watch In The Data

2: Livingston to Win 3-0 (10/1) For those exploring higher-return brackets, the historic trend at Glebe Park points toward a specific correct score notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrechin to WinBetfred guide price · Model 18% vs implied 3% · edge +15 pts
    34
    Check odds @ 34
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Brechin to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brechin0
    Avg goals scored
    Livingston-
    Brechin6
    Avg goals conceded
    Livingston-
    Brechin0%
    BTTS rate
    Livingston-
    Brechin100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Livingston-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 95% · edge -7.2 pts
    1.05
    Check odds @ 1.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brechin

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    11 Jul 2026A Partick0-6

    Livingston

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Livingston yet.

    Market aligned with main pickBrechin to WinBetfred guide price · Model 18% vs implied 3% · edge +15 pts
    34
    Check odds @ 34
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Brechin wins
    1Draws
    9Livingston wins
    15 Jul 2023Brechin v Livingston0-3
    10 Jul 2021Brechin v Livingston0-3
    21 Apr 2018Livingston v Brechin3-0
    13 Jan 2018Brechin v Livingston0-2
    28 Oct 2017Livingston v Brechin3-2
    12 Aug 2017Brechin v Livingston2-2
    Market aligned with main pickBrechin to WinBetfred guide price · Model 18% vs implied 3% · edge +15 pts
    34
    Check odds @ 34
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Brechin to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    League Cup

    Brechin4
    Played
    Livingston4
    Brechin0.5
    Avg goals for
    Livingston2.8
    Brechin3.3
    Avg goals against
    Livingston0.8
    Brechin0
    Clean sheets
    Livingston2
    Market aligned with main pickBrechin to WinBetfred guide price · Model 18% vs implied 3% · edge +15 pts
    34
    Check odds @ 34
    Season data supports Brechin to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Brechin Over 2.5
    -Livingston Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    Livingston are heavy favourites due to their Premiership status, but Brechin's strong home record makes an upset possible.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Brechin v Livingston prediction

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    Betting context

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