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Austria crestAustria
v
Jordan crestJordan

World Cup | Wed 17 Jun, 05:00

Austria v Jordan Stats

Data last updated: Tue 16 Jun 2026, 04:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Austria and Jordan meet in the World Cup Group J opener, with Austria bringing a structured, high-possession style under Ralf Rangnick. Austria's tactical identity emphasizes territorial control and efficient passing, averaging 65% possession and 86% pass accuracy, aiming to dominate the midfield and limit Jordan's attacking opportunities. Jordan, making their World Cup debut, rely on speed and counter-attacks led by Mousa Al Tamari, but their lower passing accuracy (56%) and defensive compactness suggest a challenging task against Austria's organized setup. Austria's squad depth and experience, combined with Jordan's resilience and unbeaten away streak, set the stage for a tactical battle where early goals could be decisive.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Austria to Win & BTTS No

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 56%, above the 41% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Austria averages 65% possession and 86% pass accuracy, controlling tempo effectively.
  • Jordan's 56% passing accuracy hinders sustained attacking pressure.
  • Austria concedes only 0.7 goals per game, showing strong defensive compactness.
  • Jordan remain unbeaten in 17 consecutive away matches, indicating resilience.
Price warning

Austria to Win & BTTS No is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 56% while the model sits nearer 41% (-14.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Jordan Draw No Bet shows a +31.5 pts edge at 5.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The selection of Austria to Win & BTTS No is a football-led choice reflecting Austria's superior tactical control and defensive solidity. Austria's high possession and passing accuracy limit Jordan's chances, while their average of 0.7 goals conceded per game supports a clean sheet outcome. Despite the being below the market implied probability, the pick is justified by Austria's structural control and Jordan's reliance on less efficient transitions. However, the current are short, so a reduced stake or waiting for price improvement is advised to mitigate value risk.

Austria's possession and passing control65% possession, 86% pass accuracy
Strong positive
Jordan's low passing accuracy56% pass accuracy
Positive
Austria's defensive record0.7 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Model chance vs market implied chance41% vs 55.6%
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Austria's tactical discipline and possession control under Ralf Rangnick create a strong foundation for a win without conceding. Their ability to limit Jordan's attacking transitions and maintain defensive compactness supports the prediction of a clean sheet. Austria's midfield runners and experienced forwards provide the necessary firepower to secure a multi-goal victory in this opening World Cup fixture.

Main risk

The main risk is the short relative to , requiring cautious staking and monitoring of team news or line-up changes to improve value before committing fully.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical control and defensive solidity

“Austria's structured approach and midfield creativity give them the upper hand to control the game tempo and suppress Jordan's counter-attacks, making a clean-sheet win the most plausible outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Austria to Win & BTTS No evidence

Austria averages 65% possession and 86% pass accuracy, controlling tempo effectively.

Jordan's 56% passing accuracy hinders sustained attacking pressure.

Austria concedes only 0.7 goals per game, showing strong defensive compactness.

Jordan remain unbeaten in 17 consecutive away matches, indicating resilience.

What To Watch In The Data

Austria to Win & BTTS No notes

  • Recent trends over the last ten matches show Austria averaging over 2.3 goals per game, but with a strong defensive record limiting opponent scoring.
  • Jordan's matches often feature fewer goals due to their compact style.
  • This trend supports a match with fewer than 3 goals and no BTTS, consistent with Austria's control and Jordan's defensive approach.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAustria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 86% · edge -32 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Austria to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The for Austria to Win & BTTS No are currently short compared to the model's 41% chance, reflecting market in Austria's control. This price sensitivity suggests caution, with value likely to improve if line-ups confirm Austria's defensive stability or if Jordan's key counter-attacking threats are absent.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Austria-
Avg goals scored
Jordan-
Austria-
Avg goals conceded
Jordan-
Austria-
BTTS rate
Jordan-
Austria-
Over 2.5 goals
Jordan-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Austria's defensive record of conceding just 0.7 goals per game and Jordan's tendency to take 40% of shots from outside the box support a low-scoring game with no goals for Jordan. Austria's high volume of dangerous attacks contrasts with Jordan's less efficient finishing, making BTTS No and under 3.5 goals a logical expectation.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Austria

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Austria yet.

Jordan

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Jordan yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 91% · edge -17.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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Austria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Austria to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Austria's recent matches show a pattern of controlling games through possession and limiting goals conceded, aligning with the BTTS No pick. Jordan's unbeaten away streak demonstrates resilience but also a tendency to play cautiously, which may limit their scoring opportunities against Austria's structured defense.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Austria wins
0Draws
0Jordan wins
Market aligned with main pickAustria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 75% · edge -32.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
No previous competitive meetings exist between Austria and Jordan, so historical data offers limited insight. The focus shifts to current form, tactical setups, and player quality to assess likely outcomes in this inaugural encounter.
Season team stats

World Cup

Austria0
Played
Jordan0
Austria0
Avg goals for
Jordan0
Austria0
Avg goals against
Jordan0
Austria0
Clean sheets
Jordan0
Market aligned with main pickAustria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 86% · edge -32 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
Austria to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Austria's season stats reveal a strong attacking output averaging 2.3 goals per game and a solid defense conceding only 0.7 goals, supporting a multi-goal win with a clean sheet. Jordan's lower passing accuracy and shot quality suggest difficulties breaking down Austria's defense, reinforcing the BTTS No scenario.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Austria000000
4Jordan000000
6Austria000000
While Austria and Jordan's current World Cup group standings are early, Austria's higher squad quality and tactical clarity position them as favorites to secure maximum points, emphasizing the importance of a strong start in this competitive group.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Austria Over 2.5
-Jordan Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last ten matches show Austria averaging over 2.3 goals per game, but with a strong defensive record limiting opponent scoring. Jordan's matches often feature fewer goals due to their compact style. This trend supports a match with fewer than 3 goals and no BTTS, consistent with Austria's control and Jordan's defensive approach.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.