Football Stats Hub

Nice crestNice
v
Lorient crestLorient

Ligue 1 | Sat 22 Aug, 19:45

Nice v Lorient Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nice face Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sat 22 Aug, 19:45. Lorient scored 14 league goals from set pieces last season, the highest total in Ligue 1, giving them a particularly useful attacking route in what could become a low-margin game. Nice's home struggles contrast with Lorient's unbeaten recent away form.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 1/1, Under 2 implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • When two teams with such pronounced recent scoring droughts meet, the likelihood of a high-scoring contest diminishes, particularly with neither side demonstrating the consistent.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Under 2 sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. When two teams with such pronounced recent scoring droughts meet, the likelihood of a high-scoring contest diminishes, particularly with neither side demonstrating the consistent.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Neutral
When two teams with such pronounced recent scoring droughts.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +1.8 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because both teams have low recent scoring, supporting an under 2.5 goals outcome. Nice have attacking options to end their scoring drought but rarely score multiple goals.

Main risk

Nice have attacking options to end their scoring drought but rarely score multiple goals.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Both teams have low recent scoring, supporting an under 2.5 goals outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Nice wins
5Draws
2Lorient wins
04 Mar 2026Lorient v Nice0-0
22 Feb 2026Nice v Lorient3-3
30 Nov 2025Lorient v Nice3-1
19 Apr 2024Nice v Lorient3-0
20 Aug 2023Lorient v Nice1-1
19 Mar 2023Nice v Lorient1-1
Best odds for this sectionLorient to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 30% · edge +10.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head sample gives context for Lorient to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nice

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Nice yet.

Lorient

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lorient yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +11.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Lorient to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Lorient Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 fixtures and predictionsNice v Lorient predictionplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nice-
Avg goals scored
Lorient-
Nice-
Avg goals conceded
Lorient-
Nice-
BTTS rate
Lorient-
Nice-
Over 2.5 goals
Lorient-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge -0.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionLorient to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 30% · edge +10.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Lorient Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Lorient to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 1

Nice0
Played
Lorient0
Nice0
Avg goals for
Lorient0
Nice0
Avg goals against
Lorient0
Nice0
Clean sheets
Lorient0
Best odds for this sectionLorient to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 30% · edge +10.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Lorient Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Season data supports Lorient to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Lorient000000
15Nice000000
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Nice Over 2.5
-Lorient Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
When two teams with such pronounced recent scoring droughts meet, the likelihood of a high-scoring contest diminishes, particularly with neither side demonstrating the consistent open-play efficiency required.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Nice v Lorient prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Lens v AuxerreLigue 1 · Sat 22 Aug 16:15Toulouse v LyonLigue 1 · Sat 22 Aug 19:45Estac Troyes v Paris FCLigue 1 · Sat 22 Aug 19:45Le Mans v Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug 19:45

Competition and hubs

Ligue 1 hubLigue 1 fixtures and predictionsNice v Lorient predictionplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre