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Brazil crestBrazil
v
Haiti crestHaiti

World Cup | Sat 20 Jun, 01:30

Brazil v Haiti Stats

Data last updated: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 01:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brazil face Haiti in World Cup on Sat 20 Jun, 01:30. Brazil and Haiti meet at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Saturday 20 June, with kick-off set for 01:30 BST, and the mood around this Group C meeting is already sharp enough to cut through the summer air.

BT4Y best bet

Because Brazil have completely failed to keep a clean sheet in 2026

  • At 17/20, Brazil Win implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • Brazil have scored in 16 of their last 20 matches, but have also conceded in 13 of those games, which tells us almost everything.
  • Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti.
  • Brazil have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Brazil Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Brazil Win sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti. Brazil have scored in 16 of their last 20 matches, but have also conceded in 13 of those games, which tells us almost everything.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Neutral
Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brazil have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Brazil have scored in 16 of their last 20.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brazil Win is the preferred angle because brazil have scored in 16 of their last 20 matches, but have also conceded in 13 of those games, which tells us almost everything about their current identity: dangerous, talented. Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti. That result was not a disaster, but it was not exactly champagne football either.

Main risk

That result was not a disaster, but it was not exactly champagne football either.

Key Data Signals

Brazil Win evidence

Brazil have scored in 16 of their last 20 matches, but have also conceded in 13 of those.

Brazil have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Haiti.

Brazil have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Brazil Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Brazil Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Brazil6
    Avg corners for
    Haiti4
    Brazil8
    Avg total corners
    Haiti7
    Brazil2
    Avg yellow cards
    Haiti1
    Brazil12
    Avg shots
    Haiti15
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.1 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
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    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 29%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brazil1
    Avg goals scored
    Haiti0
    Brazil1
    Avg goals conceded
    Haiti1
    Brazil100%
    BTTS rate
    Haiti0%
    Brazil0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Haiti0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 27% · edge +40 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 93% · edge -37.8 pts
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Brazil to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brazil

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    13 Jun 2026H Morocco1-1

    Haiti

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    14 Jun 2026H Scotland0-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 93% · edge -37.8 pts
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%
    1.01
    Check odds @ 1.01
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Brazil wins
    0Draws
    0Haiti wins
    09 Jun 2016Brazil v Haiti7-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 93% · edge -37.8 pts
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Brazil to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Brazil5
    Played
    Haiti3
    Brazil2
    Avg goals for
    Haiti0.7
    Brazil0.8
    Avg goals against
    Haiti2.7
    Brazil2
    Clean sheets
    Haiti0
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 93% · edge -37.8 pts
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Season data supports Brazil to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Brazil732106
    4Haiti03003-6
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Brazil Over 2.5
    0%Haiti Over 2.5
    8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brazil sit at 0% and Haiti sit at 0% with the H2H average at 8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.