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Newcastle crestNewcastle
v
West Ham crestWest Ham

Premier League | Sun 17 May, 17:30

Newcastle v West Ham Stats

BT4Y best bet

West Ham to Win

  • At 3, West Ham to Win is priced at roughly 33% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 56%, so the current line is showing a +22.3-point value edge.
  • Newcastle have a recent record of 1W-1D-3L, while West Ham come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the West Ham to Win angle: Newcastle have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the West Ham to Win angle: West Ham have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 33% · edge +22.3 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Newcastle Over 2.5
60%West Ham Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Newcastle

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
10 May 2026A Nottingham Forest1-1
02 May 2026H Brighton3-1
25 Apr 2026A Arsenal0-1
18 Apr 2026H Bournemouth1-2
12 Apr 2026A Crystal Palace1-2

West Ham

LLWDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
10 May 2026H Arsenal0-1
02 May 2026A Brentford0-3
25 Apr 2026H Everton2-1
20 Apr 2026A Crystal Palace0-0
10 Apr 2026H Wolves4-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 33% · edge +22.3 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Newcastle1.2
Avg goals scored
West Ham1.2
Newcastle1.4
Avg goals conceded
West Ham1
Newcastle80%
BTTS rate
West Ham20%
Newcastle60%
Over 2.5 goals
West Ham60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 86% · edge -3.8 pts
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

4Newcastle wins
3Draws
3West Ham wins
02 Nov 2025West Ham v Newcastle3-1
10 Mar 2025West Ham v Newcastle0-1
25 Nov 2024Newcastle v West Ham0-2
30 Mar 2024Newcastle v West Ham4-3
08 Oct 2023West Ham v Newcastle2-2
05 Apr 2023West Ham v Newcastle1-5
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 33% · edge +22.3 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Newcastle2.2
Avg corners for
West Ham4.8
Newcastle7
Avg total corners
West Ham7.8
Newcastle2
Avg yellow cards
West Ham2.4
Newcastle12.2
Avg shots
West Ham11.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 46% · edge +14.1 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleV. Castellanos Anytime GoalscorerV. Castellanos · 6 goals · 1.42 SOT/90
79/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
V. Castellanos 1+ Shot On TargetV. Castellanos · 1.42 shots on target/90
77/100
Bet HERE
V. Castellanos 2+ ShotsV. Castellanos · 2.71 shots/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Bruno Guimarães To Assist / Key Pass AngleBruno Guimarães · 5 assists · 1.69 key passes/90
66/100
Bet HERE
C. Summerville To Be FouledC. Summerville · 2.43 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
M. Kanté Card RiskM. Kanté · 2 yellows · 3.1 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
V. Castellanos
V. CastellanosWest Ham · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.71
SOT /901.42
W. Osula
W. OsulaNewcastle · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /901.67
SOT /901.25
C. Wilson
C. WilsonWest Ham · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /901.99
SOT /901.14
Y. Wissa
Y. WissaNewcastle · Attacker
Goal threat37/100
Shots /902.14
SOT /900.82
M. Kanté
M. KantéWest Ham · Midfielder
Goal threat8/100
Shots /901.55
SOT /900
Joelinton
JoelintonNewcastle · Midfielder
Goal threat33/100
Shots /901.06
SOT /900.51
D. Burn
D. BurnNewcastle · Defender
Goal threat17/100
Shots /900.29
SOT /900.12
Season team stats

Premier League

Newcastle38
Played
West Ham38
Newcastle1.4
Avg goals for
West Ham1.2
Newcastle1.4
Avg goals against
West Ham1.7
Newcastle8
Clean sheets
West Ham7
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 33% · edge +22.3 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Newcastle493814717-2
18West Ham393810919-19

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

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For every game available, you can explore detailed match data designed to support smarter analysis. This includes how often teams score and concede, whether they tend to start quickly or finish strongly, how reliable they are at home or away, and which betting markets appear most aligned with the numbers.

Key Betting Markets Covered

These insights can be especially useful when assessing popular football betting markets such as Match Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under Goals, Double Chance, Draw No Bet and Bet Builder selections.

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Data That Supports Our Predictions

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