Football Stats Hub

Giugliano crestGiugliano
v
Foggia crestFoggia

Serie C - Girone C | Mon 19 Oct, 19:30

Giugliano v Foggia Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 04:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Giugliano face Foggia in Serie C - Girone C on Mon 19 Oct, 19:30. 22 goals conceded: Giugliano have struggled defensively across their opening nine league matches. Giugliano and Foggia arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

BTTS Yes

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 58%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 8/11, BTTS Yes implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • The projected 2-1 scoreline also supports over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
  • Giugliano show a 20% BTTS rate and Foggia show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Giugliano average 1.2 goals scored and Foggia average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

BTTS Yes is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 58% while the model sits nearer 50% (-7.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for BTTS Yes sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Giugliano show a 20% BTTS rate and Foggia show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The projected 2-1 scoreline also supports over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Negative
Giugliano show a 20% BTTS rate and Foggia show a.Visible data support
Positive
Giugliano average 1.2 goals scored and Foggia average 1.4, so.Visible data support
Positive
The projected 2-1 scoreline also supports over 2.5 goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the projected 2-1 scoreline also supports over that scoring level and both teams scoring. Giugliano show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Foggia show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The prediction balances Foggia’s attacking volume with Giugliano’s tendency to concede but also avoid defeat at home.

Main risk

The prediction balances Foggia’s attacking volume with Giugliano’s tendency to concede but also avoid defeat at home.

Key Data Signals

BTTS Yes evidence

The projected 2-1 scoreline also supports over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Giugliano show a 20% BTTS rate and Foggia show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Giugliano average 1.2 goals scored and Foggia average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS Yes notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Giugliano1.2
Avg goals scored
Foggia1.4
Giugliano1.8
Avg goals conceded
Foggia1.2
Giugliano20%
BTTS rate
Foggia40%
Giugliano40%
Over 2.5 goals
Foggia40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 55% · edge -4.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 20% for Giugliano and 40% for Foggia, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

related match predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Giugliano

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 6L
13 Oct 2026H Inter U230-4
10 Oct 2026A Bari0-2
03 Oct 2026H Barletta1-0
19 Sep 2026A Salernitana0-1
15 Sep 2026H Cosenza5-2

Foggia

LWWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
11 Oct 2026H Potenza1-3
04 Oct 2026A Cosenza2-0
27 Sep 2026H Sorrento2-0
20 Sep 2026A Inter U232-3
15 Sep 2026H Savoia0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 75% · edge +1.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Foggia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Foggia to WinBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Giugliano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Giugliano to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 55% · edge -4.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Foggia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Foggia to WinBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Giugliano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Giugliano to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Giugliano Over 2.5
40%Foggia Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Giugliano sit at 40% and Foggia sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…