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Bucaramanga crestBucaramanga
v
America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali

Primera A | Sun 18 Oct, 22:00

Bucaramanga v America de Cali Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bucaramanga hosts America de Cali in a crucial Primera A clash where both teams are vying for top positions. Bucaramanga currently ranks third with strong recent form, accumulating 11 points in their last matches and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. America de Cali leads the table but has shown less attacking potency recently, averaging just one goal per game and collecting 7 points in their recent outings. The match promises tactical intensity with Bucaramanga aiming to capitalize on home advantage and offensive momentum against a resilient but less prolific America de Cali side.

BT4Y best bet

Bucaramanga to Win

  • Bucaramanga holds a strong home form with 11 recent points and 2.2 goals per game.
  • America de Cali leads the league but has scored only 1 goal per game recently.
  • Bucaramanga’s attack is more potent with an 80% BTTS rate compared to America’s 60%.
  • Bucaramanga ranks 3rd with 24 points, close behind America’s 27 points at 1st.
  • Model projects a 68.9% chance for Bucaramanga to win, offering value at 2.62 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Bucaramanga to win due to their superior recent form, stronger attacking output, and home advantage. Bucaramanga’s higher goal-scoring rate and BTTS frequency indicate offensive , while America de Cali’s lower recent scoring and points tally suggest vulnerability. The model’s 68.9% win probability significantly exceeds the implied market chance of 38.2%, highlighting clear value. This pick is supported by solid data without price warnings, making it a confident standard stake recommendation.

Recent FormBucaramanga 11 points vs America 7 points
Strong positive
Goal ScoringBucaramanga 2.2 goals/game vs America 1.0
Strong positive
BTTS RateBucaramanga 80% vs America 60%
Positive
League PositionBucaramanga 3rd vs America 1st
Neutral
Market Value Edge53.2% model chance vs 38.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bucaramanga’s recent attacking form and home momentum make them strong contenders to claim victory against America de Cali. Their higher goal output and points accumulation in recent matches provide a solid foundation, while America de Cali’s recent scoring struggles add to Bucaramanga’s edge. This match-up favors Bucaramanga’s proactive style and at home.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Bucaramanga’s offensive rhythm and home advantage create a compelling case for their win, especially given America de Cali’s recent scoring dip. The data strongly supports backing Bucaramanga to capitalize on this opportunity.”

Key Data Signals

Bucaramanga to Win evidence

Bucaramanga holds a strong home form with 11 recent points and 2.2 goals per game.

America de Cali leads the league but has scored only 1 goal per game recently.

Bucaramanga’s attack is more potent with an 80% BTTS rate compared to America’s 60%.

Bucaramanga ranks 3rd with 24 points, close behind America’s 27 points at 1st.

What To Watch In The Data

Bucaramanga to Win notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.7, indicating moderately low scoring encounters.
  • However, Bucaramanga’s recent matches show a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a faster tempo and more open play that could push this match towards more goals than the historical average.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bucaramanga2.2
Avg goals scored
America de Cali1
Bucaramanga1
Avg goals conceded
America de Cali1
Bucaramanga80%
BTTS rate
America de Cali60%
Bucaramanga60%
Over 2.5 goals
America de Cali40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Bucaramanga’s matches have a high BTTS rate of 80% and a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating open games with attacking intent. America de Cali’s lower BTTS and goal rates suggest a more cautious approach, but the attacking trends favor a match with goals from both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bucaramanga

DWWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 5D 0L
14 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas1-1
05 Oct 2026H Junior3-1
26 Sep 2026A Once Caldas3-1
20 Sep 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-0
18 Sep 2026H Independiente Medellin2-2

America de Cali

LWWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
12 Oct 2026H Independiente Medellin1-2
05 Oct 2026A Llaneros2-1
24 Sep 2026H Águilas Doradas1-0
21 Sep 2026A Deportes Tolima1-1
15 Sep 2026H Deportivo Pasto0-1
Market aligned with main pickBucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Bucaramanga’s recent form is strong, securing 11 points with an average of 2.2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, reflecting effective offense and solid defense. America de Cali’s 7 points with 1 goal per game and similar defensive record indicate a less potent attack recently, favoring Bucaramanga’s momentum.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The 53.2% for Bucaramanga to Win sits against roughly 38.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Bucaramanga have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 7 for America de Cali.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Bucaramanga Over 2.5
40%America de Cali Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.7, indicating moderately low scoring encounters. However, Bucaramanga’s recent matches show a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a faster tempo and more open play that could push this match towards more goals than the historical average.

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