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Burgos crestBurgos
v
Sabadell crestSabadell

Segunda División | Sun 18 Oct, 20:00

Burgos v Sabadell Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 23:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burgos and Sabadell meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown a tendency to find the net regularly this season. Burgos currently sits 8th with 14 points, while Sabadell is 5th with 16 points, reflecting competitive form on both sides. Both teams average around 1.3 goals scored per game and concede about one goal on average, indicating open matches. With Burgos boasting a 60% BTTS rate and Sabadell matching that figure, this fixture is poised for offensive action from both sides, making goal-scoring from both teams a key feature to watch.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Burgos and Sabadell both have a 60% rate of matches with goals from both teams this season.
  • Burgos averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.0 per game, showing balanced attacking and defensive output.
  • Sabadell averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 1.0 per game, supporting an open game scenario.
  • Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots on target, with Sabadell averaging 3.8 and Burgos 3.2 per match.
  • No previous head-to-head data exists, but current form and stats suggest a high chance of both teams scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 70% chance that both teams will score, supported by strong offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Burgos and Sabadell each have a 60% BTTS rate this season, combined with average goals conceded around one per game, indicating open matches. Shot data reinforces attacking intent, with both teams averaging over three shots on target per game. The at 2.1 offer positive value given the model's and the tactical openness suggested by the teams' recent performances.

BTTS Rate60% for both teams
Strong positive
Goals For per GameBurgos 1.4, Sabadell 1.2
Positive
Goals Against per GameBoth teams concede 1.0 on average
Positive
Shots on Target per GameBurgos 3.2, Sabadell 3.8
Positive
Model Confidence88%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Burgos and Sabadell have demonstrated consistent attacking threat and defensive openness this season, making both teams to score a logical expectation. The balanced goal-scoring and conceding patterns, combined with solid shot volumes, suggest that this fixture will feature goals at both ends. This pick aligns well with the tactical profiles and recent form of both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking tendencies and defensive concessions from both Burgos and Sabadell create a compelling case for both teams to find the net. Their similar BTTS rates and shot profiles underline the likelihood of an open, goal-filled encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Burgos and Sabadell both have a 60% rate of matches with goals from both teams this season.

Burgos averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.0 per game, showing balanced attacking and defensive output.

Sabadell averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 1.0 per game, supporting an open game scenario.

Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots on target, with Sabadell averaging 3.8 and Burgos 3.2 per match.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the course of the season, Burgos has a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Sabadell's rate is 40%.
  • This suggests a moderate tempo with potential for multiple goals, supporting an open game environment that aligns with the Both Teams to Score selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Burgos1.4
Avg goals scored
Sabadell1.2
Burgos1
Avg goals conceded
Sabadell1
Burgos60%
BTTS rate
Sabadell60%
Burgos60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sabadell40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 29%
5
Check odds @ 5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both Burgos and Sabadell have a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by average goals scored above one per game and conceding around one goal each. This balance of attacking output and defensive vulnerability creates frequent goal exchanges, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Burgos

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 3L
12 Oct 2026H Granada CF0-1
03 Oct 2026A Almeria1-2
27 Sep 2026H Eldense1-0
20 Sep 2026A Las Palmas2-1
11 Sep 2026H AD Ceuta FC3-1

Sabadell

WDDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 1L
10 Oct 2026A AD Ceuta FC2-1
04 Oct 2026H FC Andorra0-0
26 Sep 2026A Celta de Vigo II1-1
20 Sep 2026H Oviedo3-1
13 Sep 2026A Mallorca0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 71% · edge +5.5 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Burgos Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Burgos to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Sabadell to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sabadell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form data shows Burgos with 9 points and Sabadell with 8 points from their last matches, maintaining steady offensive output with goals per game averages of 1.4 and 1.2 respectively. Both teams' consistent scoring and conceding patterns in recent fixtures support the likelihood of both teams scoring again in this encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Burgos Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Burgos to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Sabadell to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sabadell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
The 62.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Burgos show a 60% BTTS rate and Sabadell show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Burgos Over 2.5
40%Sabadell Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the course of the season, Burgos has a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Sabadell's rate is 40%. This suggests a moderate tempo with potential for multiple goals, supporting an open game environment that aligns with the Both Teams to Score selection.

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