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Celta de Vigo II crestCelta de Vigo II
v
Tenerife crestTenerife

Segunda División | Mon 19 Oct, 19:30

Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife Stats

Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 00:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celta de Vigo II and Tenerife meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Celta de Vigo II sits 14th with 11 points, while Tenerife is close behind in 12th with 12 points. Both sides have scored and conceded regularly this season, reflecting open play and tactical approaches favoring offense. Recent form data shows both teams averaging over one goal per game but conceding frequently, setting up a contest likely to feature goals at both ends under Monday evening lights.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Celta de Vigo II averages 13.4 shots per game with 5.4 on target, Tenerife 11.2 shots with 3.2 on target.
  • Recent matches show Celta de Vigo II concedes 2.2 goals per game, Tenerife 2.0, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3 goals per game, supporting an open, goal-rich fixture.
  • Key attackers like Enric Gallego (Tenerife) and A. Marin (Celta de Vigo II) contribute significantly to their teams' scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% probability, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, offering strong value. Both sides have offensive strengths and defensive weaknesses, with high shots and shots-on-target averages and a 60% BTTS rate each. The attacking roles of players like Enric Gallego and A. Marin, combined with recent form and head-to-head goal averages, support a game where both teams find the net. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Probability70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams60%
Strong positive
Shots and SOT AveragesHigh for both teams
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture features two teams with attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Tenerife’s Enric Gallego and Celta de Vigo II’s A. Marin provide goal threats, while both sides concede regularly. The data and tactical context suggest an open game with goals at both ends, aligning well with the BTTS selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Both teams have shown they can score but also concede frequently, setting up a match where Both Teams to Score is a compelling angle given the attacking roles and recent form.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Celta de Vigo II averages 13.4 shots per game with 5.4 on target, Tenerife 11.2 shots with 3.2 on target.

Recent matches show Celta de Vigo II concedes 2.2 goals per game, Tenerife 2.0, highlighting defensive frailties.

Head-to-head meetings average 3 goals per game, supporting an open, goal-rich fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a trend toward open, goal-filled games.
  • This recent trend supports the BTTS pick, as both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede in these encounters.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celta de Vigo II1.4
Avg goals scored
Tenerife1.2
Celta de Vigo II2.2
Avg goals conceded
Tenerife2
Celta de Vigo II60%
BTTS rate
Tenerife60%
Celta de Vigo II60%
Over 2.5 goals
Tenerife40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by their average goals scored per game (1.4 for Celta de Vigo II, 1.2 for Tenerife) and goals conceded (2.2 and 2.0 respectively). The head-to-head average of 3 goals per match further confirms an open game with mutual scoring likelihood.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Tenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Tenerife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Celta de Vigo II Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Celta de Vigo II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Celta de Vigo II show a 60% BTTS rate and Tenerife show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celta de Vigo II

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
10 Oct 2026H Real Sociedad II4-1
04 Oct 2026A Sporting Gijon2-3
26 Sep 2026H Sabadell1-1
20 Sep 2026A Almeria0-2
14 Sep 2026H Eibar0-4

Tenerife

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
12 Oct 2026H Girona1-1
05 Oct 2026A Cordoba2-3
26 Sep 2026H Cadiz1-1
19 Sep 2026A Castellón0-5
13 Sep 2026H Leganes2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Tenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Tenerife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Celta de Vigo II Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Celta de Vigo II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows both teams scoring regularly but conceding at a high rate, with Celta de Vigo II earning 4 points and Tenerife 5 in their last matches. This pattern of scoring and conceding aligns with the BTTS pick, reflecting ongoing offensive effectiveness combined with defensive lapses.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Celta de Vigo II Over 2.5
40%Tenerife Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a trend toward open, goal-filled games. This recent trend supports the BTTS pick, as both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede in these encounters.

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