Monterrey
CF PachucaLiga MX | Mon 19 Oct, 02:00
Monterrey v CF Pachuca Stats
Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 09:15 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Liga MX clash features Monterrey hosting CF Pachuca in a tightly contested fixture where both teams are separated by just one point in the standings. Monterrey, ranked 12th with 14 points, have struggled to convert chances into goals, scoring only once in recent matches while conceding 1.6 per game. Pachuca, sitting 14th with 13 points, have shown more attacking intent and defensive solidity, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded recently. The match promises tactical battles with Pachuca's sharper form and goal threat making them a confident away contender.
CF Pachuca to Win
- CF Pachuca holds a 63.2% to win, with strong value at 5.0 .
- Pachuca averages 2 goals per game recently, outperforming Monterrey's 1 goal.
- Monterrey concedes 1.6 goals per game, Pachuca concedes fewer at 1.2.
- Pachuca's striker S. Rondón has 12 goals and 1.58 shots on target per 90 minutes.
- Monterrey's recent form shows only 5 points from last matches, Pachuca has 8 points.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
CF Pachuca's superior recent form and attacking efficiency underpin the model's in an away win. Rondón leads the league with 12 goals and high shot volume, indicating strong finishing potential. Pachuca's defensive record is better than Monterrey's, who have struggled to score and conceded more goals recently. The model identifies a significant as the imply only a 20% chance, far below the model's 63.2% win probability, making this a compelling selection. No data limitations affect here.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
CF Pachuca's recent attacking form and defensive resilience make them a strong candidate for victory despite being away. Their leading striker's prolific scoring and higher points tally in recent matches provide a solid foundation for an away win. Monterrey's struggles to convert chances and higher goals conceded add to Pachuca's advantage in this closely matched fixture.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Away win tactical and form analysis
“Pachuca's clinical finishing spearheaded by S. Rondón, combined with Monterrey's defensive vulnerabilities, shapes this as a promising away win opportunity in Liga MX.”
Key Data Signals
CF Pachuca to Win evidence
CF Pachuca holds a 63.2% to win, with strong value at 5.0 .
Pachuca averages 2 goals per game recently, outperforming Monterrey's 1 goal.
Monterrey concedes 1.6 goals per game, Pachuca concedes fewer at 1.2.
Pachuca's striker S. Rondón has 12 goals and 1.58 shots on target per 90 minutes.
What To Watch In The Data
CF Pachuca to Win notes
- The last ten meetings between these teams have averaged 3.4 goals per game, suggesting a relatively open and attacking fixture.
- This trend supports the potential for multiple goals, driven by Pachuca's offensive capabilities and Monterrey's defensive vulnerabilities.
Market odds
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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