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Parma crestParma
v
Torino crestTorino

Serie A | Mon 19 Oct, 19:45

Parma v Torino Stats

Data last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026, 06:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face Torino in Serie A on Mon 19 Oct, 19:45. Alberto Gilardino will be desperate to secure his first victory as Parma manager following a bruising debut against Inter Milan, while Ignazio Abate's Torino arrive with renewed after collecting seven points from their last four league matches.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Parma Asian Handicap +0

  • At 21/50, Parma Asian Handicap +0 implies roughly 70%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Parma's ability to avoid defeat is supported by Torino conceding in all away matches and both sides lacking clean sheets in recent fixtures, making.
  • Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma.
  • Torino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Parma Asian Handicap +0 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Parma sit 16 in the table, while Torino sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Parma Asian Handicap +0 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 70% while the model sits nearer 27% (-43.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Parma Asian Handicap +0 sits against roughly 70% implied by the current price. Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma. Parma's ability to avoid defeat is supported by Torino conceding in all away matches and both sides lacking clean sheets in recent fixtures, making.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 70% implied
Negative
Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Torino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Parma's ability to avoid defeat is supported by Torino.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Parma Win is the preferred angle because parma's ability to avoid defeat is supported by Torino conceding in all away matches and both sides lacking clean sheets in recent fixtures, making Parma a resilient choice with partial. Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma. The former striker spent three years at the club and remains their second-highest goalscorer in Serie A, but his managerial homecoming began with a difficult assignment against reigning champions Inter.

Main risk

The former striker spent three years at the club and remains their second-highest goalscorer in Serie A, but his managerial homecoming began with a difficult assignment against reigning champions Inter.

Key Data Signals

Parma Asian Handicap +0 evidence

Parma's ability to avoid defeat is supported by Torino conceding in all away matches and both sides lacking.

Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma.

Torino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Parma Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Parma sit 16 in the table, while Torino sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Parma Asian Handicap +0 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Parma0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Torino1.2
    Parma1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Torino1.4
    Parma60%
    BTTS rate
    Torino80%
    Parma60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Torino60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickParma to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 31% · edge -4.3 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Parma to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Parma

    LWLDL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 4L
    10 Oct 2026A Inter0-3
    20 Sep 2026H Genoa2-1
    14 Sep 2026A Como1-2
    06 Sep 2026H Monza1-1
    29 Aug 2026A Juventus0-2

    Torino

    WDLWL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 3L
    12 Oct 2026H Udinese2-1
    19 Sep 2026A Bologna1-1
    14 Sep 2026H AS Roma0-2
    05 Sep 2026A Fiorentina2-1
    29 Aug 2026A Sassuolo1-2
    Market aligned with main pickParma to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 31% · edge -4.3 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
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    Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Parma Over 2.5
    60%Torino Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Parma sit at 60% and Torino sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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