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FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland

Superliga | Mon 19 Oct, 18:00

Viborg v FC Midtjylland Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 09:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Viborg and FC Midtjylland meet in a tightly contested Superliga fixture where both sides are positioned near the top of the table, separated by just two points. Viborg's recent matches show a moderate attacking output but a solid defensive structure, while FC Midtjylland display a slightly more aggressive style with a higher BTTS rate. Both teams have shown tendencies to generate set-piece opportunities through wide play and pressing, suggesting a game with sustained territorial battles and multiple corner situations. The match promises tactical intensity with both sides eager to maintain their strong league positions, making set-piece markets particularly relevant.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Viborg average 6 corners per game, FC Midtjylland 4.2, combining for over 10 corners on average
  • Both teams press high and attack down the flanks, increasing corner potential
  • Recent form shows Viborg and Midtjylland matches frequently exceed 9.5 corners
  • Midtjylland's 80% BTTS rate indicates open play that often leads to set-piece chances
  • Model projects a 62.6% chance for over 9.5 corners, offering slight value at 1.73

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a favorable bet with a 62.6% chance, slightly above the implied market probability. Both Viborg and FC Midtjylland generate a high volume of corners through their attacking styles, especially Viborg's 6 corners per game and Midtjylland's aggressive wing play. The combined corner average exceeds the 9.5 threshold regularly, supported by recent matches and tactical patterns involving wide attacks and pressing. This corner volume aligns with the model's , making the bet a solid choice without major price warnings.

Viborg average corners6 per game
Strong positive
FC Midtjylland average corners4.2 per game
Positive
Model chance vs implied chance62.6% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+4.8 pts)
Positive
Teams' attacking styleWide play and pressing
Strong positive
Recent corner frequencyHigh in last matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing attacks and pressing from both Viborg and FC Midtjylland, leading to numerous corner situations. The teams' recent form and tactical tendencies support a high corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling market to consider for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corner market rationale

“Both Viborg and FC Midtjylland rely heavily on flank play and pressing, which naturally generates many corners. This tactical approach combined with their recent corner stats makes Over 9.5 Corners a well-founded selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Viborg average 6 corners per game, FC Midtjylland 4.2, combining for over 10 corners on average

Both teams press high and attack down the flanks, increasing corner potential

Recent form shows Viborg and Midtjylland matches frequently exceed 9.5 corners

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.6, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and openness also correlate with higher corner counts, as both teams seek to create chances from wide areas and set pieces.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Viborg2
Avg goals scored
FC Midtjylland2.2
Viborg1.2
Avg goals conceded
FC Midtjylland1
Viborg60%
BTTS rate
FC Midtjylland80%
Viborg40%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Midtjylland60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring rates with Viborg at 2 goals per game and Midtjylland at 2.2, alongside high BTTS percentages (60% and 80% respectively). This openness in play increases attacking phases and set-piece chances, indirectly supporting a higher corner count.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Viborg

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
11 Oct 2026A Randers FC2-0
20 Sep 2026H FC Nordsjaelland4-1
13 Sep 2026A Silkeborg1-1
04 Sep 2026H Lyngby0-2
28 Aug 2026A AC Horsens3-2

FC Midtjylland

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 4D 0L
11 Oct 2026H FC Copenhagen2-1
19 Sep 2026A Odense1-1
14 Sep 2026H Brondby4-1
07 Sep 2026H FC Nordsjaelland2-2
02 Sep 2026A Aarhus2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.2 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
FC Midtjylland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Viborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Viborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent matches for both teams show a tendency to exceed 9.5 corners, with Viborg's matches featuring an average of 6 corners and Midtjylland's 4.2. Their combined corner output aligns with the model's projection, confirming the likelihood of a corner-heavy game based on current form.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
FC Midtjylland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Viborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Viborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
The 62.6% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+4.8 pts). Viborg lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with FC Midtjylland lower at 4.2.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Viborg Over 2.5
60%FC Midtjylland Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.6, indicating open games with attacking intent. While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and openness also correlate with higher corner counts, as both teams seek to create chances from wide areas and set pieces.

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