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Abha crestAbha
v
Al Kholood crestAl Kholood

Pro League | Mon 19 Oct, 16:20

Abha v Al Kholood Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 09:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Abha and Al Kholood meet in a Pro League clash where both sides have shown tendencies to concede and score in recent matches. Abha, struggling near the bottom of the table, have scored 0.8 goals per game but conceded 1.6, while Al Kholood have a more potent attack with 1.2 goals per game but a leaky defense allowing 2.6 goals on average. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals at both ends, setting up a contest likely to see offensive opportunities from both sides. The match carries importance for Abha to improve their standing and for Al Kholood to maintain their mid-table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Al Kholood average 15.4 shots per game, nearly double Abha's 7.6, showing offensive intent.
  • Abha concede 1.6 goals per match, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent form shows Al Kholood with 4 points from last matches versus Abha's 1, hinting at better momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, supported by both sides' offensive and defensive profiles. Al Kholood's high shot volume and Abha's defensive concessions create a scenario conducive to goals at both ends. The 60% BTTS rate for each team this season reinforces this likelihood. The at 1.67 offer positive value compared to the model's implied probability, making this an attractive selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams60% each
Strong positive
Al Kholood Shots per Game15.4 average
Strong positive
Abha Goals Against1.6 per game
Positive
Price vs Model70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“Al Kholood's aggressive shot profile combined with Abha's defensive lapses creates a fertile ground for goals from both sides, making the BTTS market a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Al Kholood average 15.4 shots per game, nearly double Abha's 7.6, showing offensive intent.

Abha concede 1.6 goals per match, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Recent form shows Al Kholood with 4 points from last matches versus Abha's 1, hinting at better momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have featured in games with a high rate of Over 2.5 goals, with Al Kholood's matches reaching this mark 80% of the time.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play, increasing the chance of multiple goals and supporting the BTTS market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Abha0.8
Avg goals scored
Al Kholood1.2
Abha1.6
Avg goals conceded
Al Kholood2.6
Abha60%
BTTS rate
Al Kholood60%
Abha60%
Over 2.5 goals
Al Kholood80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by Al Kholood's higher goal scoring (1.2 per game) and Abha's defensive concessions (1.6 goals against). This combination suggests a good chance of goals at both ends, with neither side able to consistently keep clean sheets.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Al Kholood to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Al Kholood Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Abha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Abha to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The 70% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+10.1 pts). Abha show a 60% BTTS rate and Al Kholood show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Abha

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 6L
16 Oct 2026A Al-Qadisiyah FC1-2
13 Sep 2026A Al Diriyah0-0
09 Sep 2026A Al-Nassr1-2
04 Sep 2026H Al-Ettifaq0-1
28 Aug 2026A Al-Fayha2-3

Al Kholood

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
15 Oct 2026A Al-Faisaly FC2-3
09 Oct 2026H Al-Qadisiyah FC0-5
13 Sep 2026A Al Riyadh0-2
09 Sep 2026H Al Shabab2-1
03 Sep 2026A Al-Fayha2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.9 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Al Kholood to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Al Kholood Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Abha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Abha to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form favors Al Kholood with 4 points from recent matches compared to Abha's single point, reflecting better offensive output and defensive resilience. Both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate in recent games, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Abha Over 2.5
80%Al Kholood Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have featured in games with a high rate of Over 2.5 goals, with Al Kholood's matches reaching this mark 80% of the time. This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play, increasing the chance of multiple goals and supporting the BTTS market.

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