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Trento crestTrento

Serie C - Girone A | Mon 19 Oct, 19:30

Dolomiti Bellunesi v Trento Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 09:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C - Girone A clash features Dolomiti Bellunesi hosting Trento on Monday evening. Trento arrives in strong form, sitting fifth in the standings with 17 points, compared to Dolomiti Bellunesi's 13th place and 10 points. Trento's recent performances show a more potent attack and tighter defense, scoring 1.8 goals per match while conceding just 0.8, indicating a well-organized side likely to control the game. Dolomiti Bellunesi have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, which could limit their threat against a disciplined Trento defense. The tactical setup suggests Trento will aim to exploit their superior form and defensive solidity to secure an away win.

BT4Y best bet

Trento to Win

  • Trento ranks 5th with 17 points; Dolomiti Bellunesi 13th with 10 points.
  • Trento averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, showing strong attack and defense.
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi score just 0.6 goals per match and concede 1.4, indicating offensive struggles.
  • Trento's recent form includes 9 points gained, signaling momentum and .
  • Head-to-head meetings have been low scoring, but Trento's form suggests an edge this time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Trento to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, stronger attack, and better defensive record compared to Dolomiti Bellunesi. The of 1.67 offer positive value against the implied 59.9% chance, supported by Trento's consistency and momentum in Serie C. The data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing in this selection. Trento's ability to limit goals conceded while maintaining offensive pressure underpins the model's in an away victory.

Model Chance70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormTrento 9 points vs Dolomiti Bellunesi 2 points
Strong positive
Goals For/AgainstTrento 1.8/0.8 vs Dolomiti Bellunesi 0.6/1.4
Strong positive
Data QualityGood for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Trento's tactical discipline and recent scoring form make them the clear choice for victory in this fixture. Their defensive solidity and ability to control matches away from home provide a strong foundation, while Dolomiti Bellunesi's offensive struggles reduce their threat level. This combination supports backing Trento to secure the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Trento to Win

“Trento's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience positions them well to claim three points here. Their recent momentum and superior stats underline their capability to dominate this encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Trento to Win evidence

Trento ranks 5th with 17 points; Dolomiti Bellunesi 13th with 10 points.

Trento averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, showing strong attack and defense.

Dolomiti Bellunesi score just 0.6 goals per match and concede 1.4, indicating offensive struggles.

Trento's recent form includes 9 points gained, signaling momentum and .

What To Watch In The Data

Trento to Win notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, suggesting tight contests.
  • However, Trento's recent form and attacking output this season suggest a potential for a more open game with increased goal opportunities, especially from the away side.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dolomiti Bellunesi0.6
Avg goals scored
Trento1.8
Dolomiti Bellunesi1.4
Avg goals conceded
Trento0.8
Dolomiti Bellunesi60%
BTTS rate
Trento40%
Dolomiti Bellunesi40%
Over 2.5 goals
Trento60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Goal trends suggest a moderate scoring environment with Trento averaging 1.8 goals per game and Dolomiti Bellunesi 0.6. Both teams to score is less likely given Dolomiti Bellunesi's offensive struggles and Trento's solid defense, indicating a probable single-sided scoring pattern favoring Trento.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dolomiti Bellunesi

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 3L
10 Oct 2026A Desenzano Calvina0-2
04 Oct 2026H Novara1-2
27 Sep 2026A Union Brescia1-1
21 Sep 2026H Lumezzane1-2
17 Sep 2026A Renate0-0

Trento

WDDWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 0L
11 Oct 2026H Folgore Caratese1-0
04 Oct 2026A Alcione2-2
26 Sep 2026A Pergolettese0-0
21 Sep 2026H PRO Vercelli4-0
17 Sep 2026A Giana Erminio2-2
Market aligned with main pickTrento to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Trento Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Trento's recent form is markedly superior, having earned 9 points compared to Dolomiti Bellunesi's 2 in the same period. This momentum reflects and tactical effectiveness, which should translate into a strong performance and likely victory away from home.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTrento to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Trento Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The 70% for Trento to Win sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+10.1 pts). Trento have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 2 for Dolomiti Bellunesi.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Dolomiti Bellunesi Over 2.5
60%Trento Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, suggesting tight contests. However, Trento's recent form and attacking output this season suggest a potential for a more open game with increased goal opportunities, especially from the away side.

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