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Monza crestMonza
v
Cagliari crestCagliari

Serie A | Mon 19 Oct, 17:30

Monza v Cagliari Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 06:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Monza face Cagliari in Serie A on Mon 19 Oct, 17:30. Cagliari will look to extend their impressive start to the Serie A season when they visit Monza at the U-Power Stadium on Monday, 19 October, with Fabio Pisacane's side chasing a club-record fifth consecutive away league victory.

BT4Y best bet

Cagliari to win and both teams to score

  • At 9/2, Cagliari to win and both teams to score implies roughly 18%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 26%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Cagliari need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Monza on 4 and Cagliari on 10.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Monza and 40% for Cagliari.
  • Cagliari to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.6 for Monza and 1 for Cagliari are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 26% for Cagliari to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 18% implied by the current price. Cagliari need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Monza on 4 and Cagliari on 10. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price26% model chance against roughly 18% implied
Positive
Cagliari need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cagliari Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Cagliari need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Monza on 4 and Cagliari on 10. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Cagliari to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Cagliari need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Monza on 4 and Cagliari on 10.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Monza and 40% for Cagliari.

Cagliari Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.6 for Monza and 1 for Cagliari are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Cagliari to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Monza1.6
Avg goals scored
Cagliari1
Monza2.2
Avg goals conceded
Cagliari0.6
Monza100%
BTTS rate
Cagliari40%
Monza80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cagliari20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCagliari Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Cagliari to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Cagliari Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Monza

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 4L
11 Oct 2026A Lazio1-3
18 Sep 2026H Sassuolo2-1
13 Sep 2026A Lecce2-3
06 Sep 2026A Parma1-1
29 Aug 2026H Udinese2-3

Cagliari

DWWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 1L
11 Oct 2026H Juventus1-1
19 Sep 2026A Udinese1-0
12 Sep 2026A Atalanta2-1
07 Sep 2026H Lecce1-0
30 Aug 2026H Inter0-1
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Cagliari Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Cagliari to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Monza Over 2.5
20%Cagliari Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Monza sit at 80% and Cagliari sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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