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Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor
v
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

Süper Lig | Mon 19 Oct, 18:00

Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 09:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş meet in a Süper Lig clash where attacking intent and goal-scoring prowess are expected to dominate. Both teams rank in the top five, with Beşiktaş slightly ahead on points, reflecting their strong offensive form. Trabzonspor boasts a solid defensive record but has participated in high-scoring matches recently, while Beşiktaş consistently produces goals and shots, indicating an open game. The fixture promises intensity and goal opportunities, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter under lively tactical approaches from both sides.

BT4Y match pick

Beşiktaş Asian Handicap +0.25

  • Trabzonspor averages 2.6 goals scored and concedes only 0.6 per game, showing attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.
  • Beşiktaş scores 3 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, highlighting their offensive firepower.
  • Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates: Trabzonspor at 20% and Beşiktaş at 80%, suggesting asymmetric defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Average shots per game are high for both sides, with Beşiktaş averaging 18 and Trabzonspor 13.2, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance against an implied 44.4%, reflecting the attacking strengths of both Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş. Beşiktaş’s perfect Over 2.5 record and high shot volumes combine with Trabzonspor’s goal-scoring and defensive openness to support a high-scoring match. The level is robust at 73%, and no price warnings are necessary, making this an attractive standard stake. The data quality is solid, with comprehensive stats for both teams enhancing the reliability of this prediction.

Model Chance60.9% model chance vs 62.5% implied (-1.6 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance60.9% model chance vs 62.5% implied (-1.6 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge60.9% model chance vs 62.5% implied (-1.6 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence73%
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as both teams possess potent offenses and have shown a tendency for high-scoring games recently. Beşiktaş’s aggressive shot volume and Trabzonspor’s goal-scoring efficiency suggest multiple goal opportunities. This combination supports the Over 3.5 Goals pick as a logical choice for bettors seeking an exciting, goal-filled encounter.

Main risk

Risk Factor: A 1-1 correct score bet is fragile; one extra goal from either side causes a loss.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This fixture features two sides with strong offensive profiles and contrasting defensive styles, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection given the attacking talent and recent scoring trends.”

Key Data Signals

Beşiktaş Asian Handicap +0.25 evidence

Trabzonspor averages 2.6 goals scored and concedes only 0.6 per game, showing attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.

Beşiktaş scores 3 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, highlighting their offensive firepower.

Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates: Trabzonspor at 20% and Beşiktaş at 80%, suggesting asymmetric defensive vulnerabilities.

Average shots per game are high for both sides, with Beşiktaş averaging 18 and Trabzonspor 13.2, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Beşiktaş Asian Handicap +0.25 notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a history of moderately high-scoring encounters.
  • Recent form trends show both teams frequently surpassing 2.5 goals, driven by attacking tempo and transitions, suggesting this fixture is likely to continue that pattern with a fast-paced, goal-laden match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Trabzonspor2.6
Avg goals scored
Beşiktaş3
Trabzonspor0.6
Avg goals conceded
Beşiktaş1.4
Trabzonspor20%
BTTS rate
Beşiktaş80%
Trabzonspor80%
Over 2.5 goals
Beşiktaş100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Goal trends show Beşiktaş with a perfect 100% Over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS, indicating frequent high-scoring matches involving both teams. Trabzonspor’s lower BTTS rate suggests occasional clean sheets, but their 80% Over 2.5 rate signals matches often exceed three goals, supporting an expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Beşiktaş Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Beşiktaş to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 60.9% for Beşiktaş Asian Handicap +0.25 sits against roughly 62.5% implied by the current price (-1.6 pts). Trabzonspor Building Momentum at Home
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Trabzonspor

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 2L
10 Oct 2026A Samsunspor3-0
19 Sep 2026H Galatasaray4-0
12 Sep 2026A Konyaspor0-1
06 Sep 2026H Gençlerbirliği S.K.5-0
31 Aug 2026A Amed1-2

Beşiktaş

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 2L
11 Oct 2026H Kocaelispor2-1
20 Sep 2026A Amed2-3
11 Sep 2026H Erzurumspor FK3-0
05 Sep 2026A Fenerbahçe2-1
31 Aug 2026H Çorum FK6-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Beşiktaş Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Beşiktaş to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Trabzonspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Recent form data shows Trabzonspor scoring 2.6 goals per game and conceding only 0.6, while Beşiktaş scores 3 goals but concedes 1.4 per game. Both teams have high Over 2.5 rates (80% and 100%), indicating consistent involvement in high-scoring matches, reinforcing the expectation of a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
100%Beşiktaş Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a history of moderately high-scoring encounters. Recent form trends show both teams frequently surpassing 2.5 goals, driven by attacking tempo and transitions, suggesting this fixture is likely to continue that pattern with a fast-paced, goal-laden match.

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