Football Stats Hub

Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor
v
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

Süper Lig | Mon 19 Oct, 18:00

Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 03:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Trabzonspor face Beşiktaş in Süper Lig on Mon 19 Oct, 18:00. The Asian Handicap +0.25 suits this fixture’s history of draws and balances Trabzonspor’s missing key players with Beşiktaş’s ability to force a close contest at Papara Park, offering protection if the match ends level.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Ly against strong opposition, while Besiktas' away vulnerability could prove decisive in a closely contested encounter

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 41%, above the 31% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 2.45, Ly against strong opposition, while Besiktas' away vulnerability could prove decisive in a closely contested encounter implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 31%.
  • Trabzonspor Building Momentum at Home
  • Beşiktaş have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Trabzonspor.
  • Trabzonspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Ly against strong opposition, while Besiktas' away vulnerability could prove decisive in a closely contested encounter angle more than a.
Price warning

Ly against strong opposition, while Besiktas' away vulnerability could prove decisive in a closely contested encounter is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 41% while the model sits nearer 31% (-9.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 3.5 Goals shows a +13.6 pts edge at 2.25.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 31% for Ly against strong opposition, while Besiktas' away vulnerability could prove decisive in a closely contested encounter sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. Beşiktaş have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Trabzonspor. Trabzonspor Building Momentum at Home

Model chance vs price31% model chance against roughly 41% implied
Negative
Beşiktaş have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Trabzonspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Trabzonspor Building Momentum at HomeArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Trabzonspor Win is the preferred angle because trabzonspor Building Momentum at Home Beşiktaş have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Trabzonspor. Risk Factor: A 1-1 correct score bet is fragile; one extra goal from either side causes a loss.

Main risk

Risk Factor: A 1-1 correct score bet is fragile; one extra goal from either side causes a loss.

Key Data Signals

Ly against strong opposition, while Besiktas' away vulnerability could prove decisive in a closely contested encounter evidence

Trabzonspor Building Momentum at Home

Beşiktaş have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Trabzonspor.

Trabzonspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Trabzonspor Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Trabzonspor sit 2 in the table, while Beşiktaş sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Ly against strong opposition, while Besiktas' away vulnerability could prove decisive in a closely contested encounter notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Trabzonspor2.6
    Avg goals scored
    Beşiktaş3
    Trabzonspor0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Beşiktaş1.4
    Trabzonspor20%
    BTTS rate
    Beşiktaş80%
    Trabzonspor80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Beşiktaş100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.7 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickTrabzonspor to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 41% · edge -9.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Trabzonspor to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Trabzonspor

    WWLWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 2L
    10 Oct 2026A Samsunspor3-0
    19 Sep 2026H Galatasaray4-0
    12 Sep 2026A Konyaspor0-1
    06 Sep 2026H Gençlerbirliği S.K.5-0
    31 Aug 2026A Amed1-2

    Beşiktaş

    WLWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 0D 2L
    11 Oct 2026H Kocaelispor2-1
    20 Sep 2026A Amed2-3
    11 Sep 2026H Erzurumspor FK3-0
    05 Sep 2026A Fenerbahçe2-1
    31 Aug 2026H Çorum FK6-2
    Market aligned with main pickTrabzonspor to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 41% · edge -9.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
    100%Beşiktaş Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Trabzonspor sit at 80% and Beşiktaş sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…