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Getafe crestGetafe
v
Rayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

La Liga | Sun 03 May, 15:15

Getafe v Rayo Vallecano Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 2, Over 9.5 Corners is priced at roughly 50% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 69%, so the current line is showing a +19-point value edge.
  • The detailed sample shows average total corners of 11.2 for Getafe games and 12.4 for Rayo Vallecano games.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: Getafe have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: Rayo Vallecano have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 47% vs implied 22% · edge +24.5 pts
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.38
Bet HERE @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

20%Getafe Over 2.5
40%Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Getafe

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 4L
25 Apr 2026H Barcelona0-2
22 Apr 2026A Real Sociedad1-0
13 Apr 2026A Levante0-1
05 Apr 2026H Athletic Club2-0
21 Mar 2026A Espanyol2-1

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
26 Apr 2026H Real Sociedad3-3
23 Apr 2026H Espanyol1-0
12 Apr 2026A Mallorca0-3
03 Apr 2026H Elche1-0
22 Mar 2026A Barcelona0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 88% · edge -6.8 pts
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.38
Bet HERE @ 1.38
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Getafe1
Avg goals scored
Rayo Vallecano1
Getafe0.8
Avg goals conceded
Rayo Vallecano1.4
Getafe20%
BTTS rate
Rayo Vallecano20%
Getafe20%
Over 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 47% vs implied 22% · edge +24.5 pts
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.18
Bet HERE @ 1.18
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Getafe wins
7Draws
3Rayo Vallecano wins
02 Jan 2026Rayo Vallecano v Getafe1-1
02 May 2025Rayo Vallecano v Getafe1-0
24 Aug 2024Getafe v Rayo Vallecano0-0
13 Apr 2024Rayo Vallecano v Getafe0-0
02 Jan 2024Getafe v Rayo Vallecano0-2
12 Feb 2023Getafe v Rayo Vallecano1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 47% vs implied 22% · edge +24.5 pts
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Getafe4.8
Avg corners for
Rayo Vallecano7.4
Getafe11.2
Avg total corners
Rayo Vallecano12.4
Getafe4.6
Avg yellow cards
Rayo Vallecano3.2
Getafe6.8
Avg shots
Rayo Vallecano17.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
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Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJorge de Frutos Anytime GoalscorerJorge de Frutos · 10 goals · 1.04 SOT/90
76/100
Bet HERE
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Sergio Camello 1+ Shot On TargetSergio Camello · 1.27 shots on target/90
75/100
Bet HERE
R. Nteka 2+ ShotsR. Nteka · 2.34 shots/90
73/100
Bet HERE
Luis Milla To Assist / Key Pass AngleLuis Milla · 9 assists · 2.29 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
Ilias Akhomach To Be FouledIlias Akhomach · 3.67 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Mario Martín Card RiskMario Martín · 10 yellows · 2.96 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de FrutosRayo Vallecano · Attacker
Goal threat63/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /901.04
R. Nteka
R. NtekaRayo Vallecano · Midfielder
Goal threat57/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /901.17
Sergio Camello
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano · Attacker
Goal threat55/100
Shots /901.98
SOT /901.27
Ó. Trejo
Ó. TrejoRayo Vallecano · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.23
SOT /901.23
Javi Muñoz
Javi MuñozGetafe · Midfielder
Goal threat34/100
Shots /902.19
SOT /901.01
Mario Martín
Mario MartínGetafe · Midfielder
Goal threat24/100
Shots /900.69
SOT /900.25
A. Abqar
A. AbqarGetafe · Defender
Goal threat14/100
Shots /900.43
SOT /900.07
A. Nyom
A. NyomGetafe · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.6
SOT /900.3
Season team stats

La Liga

Getafe34
Played
Rayo Vallecano34
Getafe0.8
Avg goals for
Rayo Vallecano1
Getafe1.1
Avg goals against
Rayo Vallecano1.2
Getafe10
Clean sheets
Rayo Vallecano11
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 33% · edge +8.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.38
Bet HERE @ 1.38
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Getafe443413516-8
11Rayo Vallecano4234101212-6

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.