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Giana Erminio crestGiana Erminio
v
Union Brescia crestUnion Brescia

Serie C - Girone A | Mon 19 Oct, 19:30

Giana Erminio v Union Brescia Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 09:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Giana Erminio and Union Brescia meet in Serie C - Girone A with contrasting league positions and recent form. Union Brescia, sitting second with 19 points, have shown strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.2 goals per game, while Giana Erminio, 19th with 5 points, have struggled but still maintain an 80% rate of matches with both teams scoring. This fixture presents a tactical battle where Brescia's offensive strength meets Giana Erminio's vulnerability at the back, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Giana Erminio has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Union Brescia averages 2.2 goals per game, showing strong attacking form.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.67 goals, supporting a high-scoring encounter.
  • Union Brescia ranks 2nd in the league, reflecting consistent offensive output.
  • Both teams have shown a tendency for matches with goals at both ends this season.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 52.4%, indicating strong value. Giana Erminio's high BTTS rate (80%) combined with Union Brescia's potent attack (2.2 goals per game) creates a favorable environment for goals at both ends. The head-to-head average of 3.67 goals further supports this expectation. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in this selection.

Giana Erminio BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Union Brescia Goals For2.2 per game
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.67 goals
Positive
Model Chance vs Market67.4% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, with Union Brescia's strong attack likely to break through Giana Erminio's defense. The high BTTS rate for Giana Erminio and the attacking form of Brescia suggest a match where both sides find the net. This bet aligns well with the tactical and statistical profile of the fixture.

Main risk

However, Giana Erminio are not simply absorbing pressure without responding.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The combination of Giana Erminio's defensive frailties and Union Brescia's attacking efficiency makes both teams to score a compelling angle in this Serie C clash.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Giana Erminio has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Union Brescia averages 2.2 goals per game, showing strong attacking form.

Head-to-head matches average 3.67 goals, supporting a high-scoring encounter.

Union Brescia ranks 2nd in the league, reflecting consistent offensive output.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.67, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.
  • This supports an open tempo with opportunities for both teams to find the net, aligning with the BTTS market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Giana Erminio1.2
Avg goals scored
Union Brescia2.2
Giana Erminio1.2
Avg goals conceded
Union Brescia1
Giana Erminio80%
BTTS rate
Union Brescia60%
Giana Erminio40%
Over 2.5 goals
Union Brescia60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have shown a strong propensity to score and concede this season, with Giana Erminio's 80% BTTS rate and Brescia's 60% BTTS rate reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The head-to-head average of 3.67 goals suggests open matches with attacking intent from both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Giana Erminio

DDDDD
Last 50W 5D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 5D 4L
11 Oct 2026A Renate2-2
04 Oct 2026A Treviso0-0
26 Sep 2026H PRO Vercelli1-1
20 Sep 2026A Folgore Caratese1-1
17 Sep 2026H Trento2-2

Union Brescia

WDDWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 0L
09 Oct 2026H PRO Vercelli2-0
04 Oct 2026A Lecco2-2
27 Sep 2026H Dolomiti Bellunesi1-1
20 Sep 2026A Alcione4-0
17 Sep 2026H Treviso2-2
Best odds for this sectionGiana Erminio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
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Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Union Brescia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Giana Erminio to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form shows Union Brescia with 9 points and a strong goal-scoring record of 2.2 goals per game, while Giana Erminio has 5 points and a 1.2 goals per game average. Both teams have contributed to matches with goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS selection.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Giana Erminio v Union Brescia predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Giana Erminio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Union Brescia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Giana Erminio to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 67.4% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Giana Erminio show a 80% BTTS rate and Union Brescia show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Union Brescia’s strong recent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game and a high-scoring 5-2 win in their last meeting support Over 2.5 Goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Giana Erminio Over 2.5
60%Union Brescia Over 2.5
3.67H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.67, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. This supports an open tempo with opportunities for both teams to find the net, aligning with the BTTS market.

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