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Rodez crestRodez
v
Montpellier crestMontpellier

Ligue 2 | Mon 19 Oct, 19:45

Rodez v Montpellier Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 04:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rodez face Montpellier in Ligue 2 on Mon 19 Oct, 19:45. Rodez welcome Montpellier to Stade Paul Lignon on Monday, 19 October, for the final fixture of Ligue 2's ninth round. Rodez's urgency to end a losing streak adds to the likelihood of goals at both ends.

BT4Y match pick

BTTS Yes

  • At 1/2, BTTS Yes implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Both teams scoring is supported by Rodez's strong home attack averaging 1.75 goals and their defensive frailty conceding 2.25 per game.
  • Rodez show a 60% BTTS rate and Montpellier show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Rodez average 1.2 goals scored and Montpellier average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for BTTS Yes sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Rodez show a 60% BTTS rate and Montpellier show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both teams scoring is supported by Rodez's strong home attack averaging 1.75 goals and their defensive frailty conceding 2.25 per game.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Negative
Rodez show a 60% BTTS rate and Montpellier show a.Visible data support
Positive
Rodez average 1.2 goals scored and Montpellier average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams scoring is supported by Rodez's strong home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both teams scoring is supported by Rodez's strong home attack averaging that scoring level and their defensive frailty conceding 2.25 per game. Rodez show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Montpellier show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Defensive fragility on Rodez's side poses a risk to this exact scoreline.

Main risk

Defensive fragility on Rodez's side poses a risk to this exact scoreline.

Key Data Signals

BTTS Yes evidence

Both teams scoring is supported by Rodez's strong home attack averaging 1.

Rodez show a 60% BTTS rate and Montpellier show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Rodez average 1.2 goals scored and Montpellier average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS Yes notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rodez1.2
Avg goals scored
Montpellier1
Rodez2.6
Avg goals conceded
Montpellier0.8
Rodez60%
BTTS rate
Montpellier40%
Rodez60%
Over 2.5 goals
Montpellier20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 64% · edge -0.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Rodez and 40% for Montpellier, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 64% · edge -0.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Montpellier Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Montpellier to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Rodez Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Rodez to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Rodez v Montpelliercorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rodez

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 5L
10 Oct 2026A Saint Etienne0-2
18 Sep 2026H Nancy3-4
11 Sep 2026H Grenoble0-1
05 Sep 2026A Metz1-4
28 Aug 2026H PAU2-2

Montpellier

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 1L
09 Oct 2026H Grenoble2-0
18 Sep 2026A Reims1-1
11 Sep 2026H PAU1-0
05 Sep 2026A Saint Etienne1-3
28 Aug 2026H Boulogne0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Montpellier Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Montpellier to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Rodez Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Rodez to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 19%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Rodez Over 2.5
20%Montpellier Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rodez sit at 60% and Montpellier sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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