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CRB crestCRB
v
Botafogo SP crestBotafogo SP

Serie B | Sun 18 Oct, 20:00

CRB v Botafogo SP Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Botafogo SP and CRB meet in a tightly contested Serie B fixture with both teams level on 16 points and identical records of four wins, four draws, and six defeats. Botafogo SP arrives with recent momentum from back-to-back wins and a solid defensive record at home, conceding under one goal per match. CRB, meanwhile, bring a more expansive attacking style, averaging 1.64 goals per game but with defensive vulnerabilities that have led to 24 goals conceded in 14 matches. This clash of control versus open play sets the stage for a tense encounter where both sides are likely to find scoring opportunities, especially given CRB's porous defense and Botafogo SP's home scoring capability.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have identical league records and points, indicating a balanced contest.
  • CRB averages 1.64 goals scored but concedes 1.71 goals per game, showing defensive weakness.
  • Botafogo SP has a strong home defensive record but has scored in recent matches, including four goals against Fortaleza.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings are evenly split with an average of 2.5 goals per game, supporting a scoring game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by CRB's high attacking output combined with their defensive fragility, conceding in every recent match. Botafogo SP's home form shows they can capitalize on these defensive lapses, having scored multiple goals in recent games. The model estimates a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, significantly above the implied market chance of 52.6%, indicating clear value. The balanced league positions and recent form data reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends, making this a well-founded selection.

CRB's attacking and defensive profileHigh goals scored (1.64) and conceded (1.71) per game
Strong positive
Botafogo SP's home scoring formMultiple recent goals including a 4-0 win
Positive
Head-to-head goal averages2.5 goals per game in last six meetings
Positive
Market implied chance vs model chance66.7% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+12.1 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to score but also to concede, especially CRB with their open defensive style. Botafogo SP's solid home defense combined with their recent scoring form suggests they can breach CRB's backline. This tactical contrast and balanced league standing make both teams scoring a logical and attractive outcome for this fixture.

Main risk

They beat Operário 2-1 and Fortaleza 4-0, but also lost 2-1 to Athletic Club MG and São Bernardo.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“CRB's attacking firepower paired with their defensive vulnerabilities creates a fertile ground for both teams to find the net, while Botafogo SP's home resilience and scoring ability ensure they won't be shut out easily.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have identical league records and points, indicating a balanced contest.

CRB averages 1.64 goals scored but concedes 1.71 goals per game, showing defensive weakness.

Botafogo SP has a strong home defensive record but has scored in recent matches, including four goals against Fortaleza.

Recent head-to-head meetings are evenly split with an average of 2.5 goals per game, supporting a scoring game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with a strong tendency towards matches featuring multiple goals.
  • CRB's recent matches have an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, while Botafogo SP's lower rate reflects a more cautious approach.
  • The trend suggests a match with fluctuating tempo and chances, where the attacking volume from CRB and home opportunities for Botafogo SP could combine to produce goals from both teams.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CRB1.8
Avg goals scored
Botafogo SP1.2
CRB1.4
Avg goals conceded
Botafogo SP0.6
CRB60%
BTTS rate
Botafogo SP40%
CRB80%
Over 2.5 goals
Botafogo SP20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have demonstrated scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, especially CRB who have conceded in every recent match while scoring consistently. Botafogo SP's recent home goals and CRB's high shot and dangerous attack volumes support a fixture where both sides are likely to score. The balanced head-to-head goal average of 2.5 further underlines the expectation of goals at both ends.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

CRB v Botafogo SP predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Botafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
CRB Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+12.1 pts). CRB show a 60% BTTS rate and Botafogo SP show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams to Score market requires both contestants to find the back of the net at least once during the standard 90 minutes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CRB

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
12 Oct 2026A Fortaleza EC2-2
08 Oct 2026H Atletico Goianiense3-1
02 Oct 2026A São Bernardo1-3
27 Sep 2026H Cuiaba3-0
20 Sep 2026A Ponte Preta0-1

Botafogo SP

WWLWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
13 Oct 2026H Ceara1-0
07 Oct 2026A Operario-PR2-1
03 Oct 2026H Vila Nova0-1
29 Sep 2026H Ponte Preta2-0
19 Sep 2026A Athletic Club1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Botafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
CRB Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
CRB to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent form data shows CRB scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 1.4 per game, with an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS rate, highlighting their open games. Botafogo SP scores 1.2 and concedes 0.6, with a lower Over 2.5 rate of 20% and 40% BTTS rate, reflecting a more defensive style. The contrast in form supports a match where both teams are likely to score, especially given CRB's offensive pressure and Botafogo SP's home scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%CRB Over 2.5
20%Botafogo SP Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with a strong tendency towards matches featuring multiple goals. CRB's recent matches have an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, while Botafogo SP's lower rate reflects a more cautious approach. The trend suggests a match with fluctuating tempo and chances, where the attacking volume from CRB and home opportunities for Botafogo SP could combine to produce goals from both teams.

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