Football Stats Hub

Águilas Doradas crestÁguilas Doradas
v
Deportes Tolima crestDeportes Tolima

Primera A | Sun 18 Oct, 20:00

Águilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima Stats

Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 03:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Águilas Doradas host Deportes Tolima in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but also a tendency to concede. Águilas Doradas have scored and conceded just over one goal per game recently, while Deportes Tolima’s form includes a slightly higher rate of over 2.5 goal matches. The fixture is poised for a competitive battle with both sides eager to improve their standings, making set-piece opportunities and territorial battles crucial in shaping the flow of the game.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Águilas Doradas average 4.6 corners per game, Deportes Tolima 6.6, combining for over 11 corners on average.
  • Recent form shows both teams engage in open play, supporting a high corner count.
  • Model projects a 63.7% chance for over 9.5 corners, offering positive value at even .
  • Both teams have attacking players who generate frequent shots and pressure, increasing corner potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong likelihood of over 9.5 corners based on both teams’ average corner counts and attacking styles. Águilas Doradas and Deportes Tolima combine for over 11 corners per match on average, with Deportes Tolima’s higher offensive pressure contributing significantly. The 63.7% exceeds the 50% implied by the , indicating value. is high given consistent corner generation and shot volume from key attackers. No data limitations or price warnings apply, making this a solid corner market selection.

Average Corners per Game11.2 combined
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance63.7% model chance vs 50% implied (+13.7 pts)
Strong positive
Shot Volume and PressureHigh from both teams
Positive
Data QualityComplete and balanced
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively contest with both Águilas Doradas and Deportes Tolima pushing forward and contesting possession aggressively. This approach typically leads to frequent attacking transitions and defensive clearances, generating numerous corners. The teams’ average corner stats and attacking tendencies support a bet on over 9.5 corners, reflecting the likely tempo and territorial exchanges in this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count is a key indicator of territorial control and attacking intent in this match-up. Both teams’ styles and recent data suggest a high volume of set-piece opportunities, making the over 9.5 corners a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Águilas Doradas average 4.6 corners per game, Deportes Tolima 6.6, combining for over 11 corners on average.

Recent form shows both teams engage in open play, supporting a high corner count.

Model projects a 63.7% chance for over 9.5 corners, offering positive value at even .

Both teams have attacking players who generate frequent shots and pressure, increasing corner potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • Although this section focuses on over 2.5 goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions that produce goals also tend to generate corners, supporting the expectation of a high corner count in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Águilas Doradas1
Avg goals scored
Deportes Tolima1
Águilas Doradas1.2
Avg goals conceded
Deportes Tolima1.2
Águilas Doradas40%
BTTS rate
Deportes Tolima60%
Águilas Doradas20%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportes Tolima40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 55% · edge +5.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
While goal scoring is moderate, with both teams averaging around one goal per game, the attacking play leads to frequent shots and pressure, often resulting in corners. The BTTS rates suggest open play phases, contributing indirectly to corner opportunities through defensive clearances and attacking transitions.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Águilas Doradas to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Águilas Doradas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Deportes Tolima to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 63.7% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+13.7 pts). Deportes Tolima lead the corner sample at 6.6 per match, with Águilas Doradas lower at 4.6.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Águilas Doradas

DDWLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
14 Oct 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
10 Oct 2026A Alianza Valledupar2-2
03 Oct 2026H Jaguares2-0
28 Sep 2026A Deportivo Cali0-2
24 Sep 2026A America de Cali0-1

Deportes Tolima

LDDDD
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Jaguares2-3
09 Oct 2026A Atletico Nacional0-0
03 Oct 2026H Chico0-0
28 Sep 2026A Fortaleza FC2-2
21 Sep 2026H America de Cali1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.2 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Águilas Doradas to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Águilas Doradas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Deportes Tolima to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form data shows both teams have engaged in matches with moderate goal scoring but maintain high attacking activity, reflected in shot and corner averages. Águilas Doradas have a 20% over 2.5 goals rate, Deportes Tolima 40%, but both consistently generate corners, supporting the over 9.5 corners pick as a reflection of their current playing styles and match tempo.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Águilas Doradas Over 2.5
40%Deportes Tolima Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating open games with attacking intent. Although this section focuses on over 2.5 goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions that produce goals also tend to generate corners, supporting the expectation of a high corner count in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…