Football Stats Hub

Hungary crestHungary
v
Finland crestFinland

Friendlies | Fri 05 Jun, 18:45

Hungary v Finland Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 00:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hungary face Finland in Friendlies on Fri 05 Jun, 18:45. Hungary host Finland at the Puskás Aréna in an international friendly, with Marco Rossi’s side looking to sharpen their home form and Jacob Friis seeking a response after defeat to Germany.

BT4Y best bet

A home victory, an absolute draw, or an away victory

  • At 1/2, Hungary Win implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Under Rossi's guidance since 2018, Hungary have established steady structural patterns that define their home style.
  • Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Finland.
  • Hungary have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Hungary Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Hungary Win sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Finland. Under Rossi's guidance since 2018, Hungary have established steady structural patterns that define their home style.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Positive
Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Hungary have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Under Rossi's guidance since 2018, Hungary have established steady.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hungary Win is the preferred angle because under Rossi's guidance since 2018, Hungary have established steady structural patterns that define their home style. Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Finland. Finland’s disappointment is different, but no less real.

Main risk

Finland’s disappointment is different, but no less real.

Key Data Signals

Hungary Win evidence

Under Rossi's guidance since 2018, Hungary have established steady structural patterns that define their home style.

Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Finland.

Hungary have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Hungary Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Hungary Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Hungary6
    Avg corners for
    Finland3
    Hungary10.5
    Avg total corners
    Finland13
    Hungary1
    Avg yellow cards
    Finland0
    Hungary14
    Avg shots
    Finland7
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 58% · edge +17.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Friendlies fixtures and predictionsHungary v Finland predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hungary0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Finland0
    Hungary0
    Avg goals conceded
    Finland4
    Hungary0%
    BTTS rate
    Finland0%
    Hungary0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Finland100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Hungary Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Hungary to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hungary

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Greece0-0
    28 Mar 2026H Slovenia1-0

    Finland

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    31 May 2026A Germany0-4
    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Hungary Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Hungary wins
    0Draws
    1Finland wins
    18 Nov 2018Hungary v Finland2-0
    08 Sep 2018Finland v Hungary1-0
    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Hungary to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Hungary4
    Played
    Finland2
    Hungary1.5
    Avg goals for
    Finland0.5
    Hungary0.5
    Avg goals against
    Finland3
    Hungary2
    Clean sheets
    Finland0
    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Hungary Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Season data supports Hungary to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Hungary Over 2.5
    100%Finland Over 2.5
    1.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hungary sit at 0% and Finland sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Hungary v Finland prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    Friendlies hubFriendlies fixtures and predictionsHungary v Finland predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre