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Hungary crestHungary
v
Finland crestFinland

Friendlies | Fri 05 Jun, 18:45

Hungary v Finland Stats

Data last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026, 03:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hungary hosts Finland in a friendly where Hungary's recent form shows a more stable defensive setup, conceding no goals in their last two matches, while Finland has struggled defensively, conceding four goals without scoring. Hungary's tactical approach appears focused on control and defensive solidity, aiming to capitalize on Finland's recent vulnerabilities. The match offers Hungary a chance to build and momentum ahead of competitive fixtures, with Finland likely to face challenges breaking down a disciplined Hungarian defense.

BT4Y best bet

Hungary to Win

  • Hungary has kept clean sheets in recent matches, conceding 0 goals in last two games.
  • Finland has conceded 4 goals and scored none in recent outings, indicating defensive struggles.
  • Hungary averages 14 shots and 4.5 shots on target per game, showing offensive activity.
  • Finland averages only 7 shots and 0 shots on target, highlighting attacking difficulties.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Hungary to win with a 74% chance based on their superior recent defensive record and stronger attacking metrics. Hungary's ability to limit Finland's scoring chances and generate more shots on target supports this . The data quality is solid, with balanced samples for both teams. Although the price context is unknown, the clear statistical and tactical edge for Hungary justifies backing them in this friendly encounter.

Recent Defensive FormHungary conceded 0 goals recently; Finland conceded 4
Strong positive
Attacking MetricsHungary averages double Finland's shots and shots on target
Positive
Data QualityBalanced data points for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Hungary's disciplined defensive shape and superior attacking activity make them the logical favorite in this friendly. Their recent clean sheets combined with Finland's scoring struggles suggest Hungary can control the match and secure a win. The data and tactical context align well to support backing Hungary to win.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendlies often feature experimental line-ups and rotations, which can disrupt form and defensive cohesion, potentially affecting Hungary's expected control.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Hungary's recent defensive solidity and greater offensive threat provide a clear tactical advantage over Finland, who have struggled to create chances. This match should see Hungary impose their game and secure victory.”

Key Data Signals

Hungary to Win evidence

Hungary has kept clean sheets in recent matches, conceding 0 goals in last two games.

Finland has conceded 4 goals and scored none in recent outings, indicating defensive struggles.

Hungary averages 14 shots and 4.5 shots on target per game, showing offensive activity.

Finland averages only 7 shots and 0 shots on target, highlighting attacking difficulties.

What To Watch In The Data

Hungary to Win notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating a low-scoring trend.
  • Combined with recent defensive solidity, this suggests a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals, with a controlled tempo and limited open-play chances.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Hungary6
Avg corners for
Finland3
Hungary10.5
Avg total corners
Finland13
Hungary1
Avg yellow cards
Finland0
Hungary14
Avg shots
Finland7
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 58% · edge +17.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Hungary's higher average corners (6 vs 3) and shots (14 vs 7) indicate territorial control and sustained pressure. Finland's low shots on target (0) and minimal yellow cards suggest limited attacking threat and a disciplined defensive approach, reinforcing Hungary's control.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hungary0.5
Avg goals scored
Finland0
Hungary0
Avg goals conceded
Finland4
Hungary0%
BTTS rate
Finland0%
Hungary0%
Over 2.5 goals
Finland100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams to score is unlikely given Hungary's recent clean sheets and Finland's failure to score in recent matches. The low goal averages and defensive focus suggest a controlled game with few goals, supporting a BTTS No angle.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Hungary Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
The Hungary to Win market reflects a strong of 74%, indicating in Hungary's ability to capitalize on Finland's defensive weaknesses. Without visible , the market appears justified but should be monitored for price sensitivity given the friendly nature of the match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hungary

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
31 Mar 2026H Greece0-0
28 Mar 2026H Slovenia1-0

Finland

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
31 May 2026A Germany0-4
Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Hungary Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Hungary's recent form shows defensive resilience with zero goals conceded and steady offensive output, while Finland has struggled to score and conceded multiple goals. This contrast highlights Hungary's momentum and readiness to control the match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Hungary wins
0Draws
1Finland wins
18 Nov 2018Hungary v Finland2-0
08 Sep 2018Finland v Hungary1-0
Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
The two previous meetings between Hungary and Finland have averaged 1.5 goals per game, reflecting cautious encounters. This limited sample supports expectations of a tight match with few goals, aligning with Hungary's defensive strengths and Finland's attacking challenges.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Hungary2
Played
Finland1
Hungary0.5
Avg goals for
Finland0
Hungary0
Avg goals against
Finland4
Hungary2
Clean sheets
Finland0
Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Hungary Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Seasonal data confirms Hungary's stronger attack and more robust defense compared to Finland, with Hungary averaging more shots and maintaining clean sheets, underpinning their favored status for the win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Hungary Over 2.5
100%Finland Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating a low-scoring trend. Combined with recent defensive solidity, this suggests a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals, with a controlled tempo and limited open-play chances.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.