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Cucuta crestCucuta
v
Santa Fe crestSanta Fe

Primera A | Wed 04 Nov, 23:30

Cucuta v Santa Fe Stats

Data last updated: Tue 03 Nov 2026, 08:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cucuta and Santa Fe meet in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but also a tendency to concede chances that lead to set-piece opportunities. Cucuta ranks 10th with 21 points, while Santa Fe sits 5th with 28 points, adding competitive edge to this fixture. Both sides have similar recent form in terms of goals and points, but their style suggests a physical battle with frequent wide play and crosses, increasing corner potential. This match could see sustained pressure and territorial exchanges, setting the stage for a high corner count.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Cucuta averages 5.2 corners per match, Santa Fe 4.0, combining for over 9 corners on average.
  • Both teams have a moderate BTTS rate but tend to create wide attacking plays leading to corners.
  • Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play phases.
  • Player stats highlight attackers like N. Peralta who generate multiple shots, increasing attacking pressure and corner chances.
  • Discipline data shows moderate fouling rates, suggesting set-piece opportunities from wide areas will be frequent.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 62.6% chance for over 9.5 corners, supported by Cucuta's and Santa Fe's combined average of 9.2 corners per game. Both teams engage in wide attacks and sustained pressure, as reflected in shot volumes and fouls won, which typically lead to corner kicks. The of 15% indicates the current offer a positive return relative to the model's probability. is high at 79%, making this a statistically backed selection with a strong football rationale.

Average Corners per Match9.2 combined
Strong positive
Attacking StyleWide play and crossing
Positive
Fouling and Set-piece FrequencyModerate fouls leading to corners
Positive
Model Confidence79% confidence level
Strong positive
Value Edge62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a physically contested match with both Cucuta and Santa Fe pushing wide and creating multiple crossing opportunities. Their combined corner averages and attacking tendencies suggest over 9.5 corners is a plausible outcome. The data supports a bet on corners given the teams' styles and recent match patterns.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“Cucuta and Santa Fe's attacking patterns and fouling profiles set the stage for a high corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling angle in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Cucuta averages 5.2 corners per match, Santa Fe 4.0, combining for over 9 corners on average.

Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play phases.

Player stats highlight attackers like N. Peralta who generate multiple shots, increasing attacking pressure and corner chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • This tempo and openness often correlate with increased corner counts, as both teams seek to exploit wide areas and create set-piece chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cucuta1.4
Avg goals scored
Santa Fe1
Cucuta1
Avg goals conceded
Santa Fe1
Cucuta20%
BTTS rate
Santa Fe40%
Cucuta40%
Over 2.5 goals
Santa Fe40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 51% · edge +6.8 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe has a 40% BTTS rate, indicating open play and attacking intent. While goals are moderate, the attacking pressure often leads to set pieces and corners rather than just goals, supporting the corner market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cucuta

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
27 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas0-2
25 Oct 2026A America de Cali1-3
21 Oct 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0
12 Oct 2026A Chico1-0
04 Oct 2026H Deportivo Pereira4-0

Santa Fe

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
30 Oct 2026A Atletico Nacional0-2
27 Oct 2026H Bucaramanga2-1
22 Oct 2026H Jaguares2-1
19 Oct 2026A Llaneros0-1
06 Oct 2026A Independiente Medellin1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cucuta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Recent form data shows both teams have similar points (9) and goal-scoring rates, with Cucuta and Santa Fe each having a 40% over 2.5 goals rate. This suggests matches involving these teams often feature open play and attacking phases conducive to earning corners.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +8.7 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cucuta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 62.6% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cucuta lead the corner sample at 5.2 per match, with Santa Fe lower at 4.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cucuta Over 2.5
40%Santa Fe Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, indicating open games with attacking intent. This tempo and openness often correlate with increased corner counts, as both teams seek to exploit wide areas and create set-piece chances.

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