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Derry City crestDerry City
v
Drogheda United crestDrogheda United

Premier Division | Fri 26 Jun, 19:45

Derry City v Drogheda United Stats

Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 00:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Derry City face Drogheda United in Premier Division on Fri 26 Jun, 19:45. Derry’s six-match unbeaten streak at the Brandywell provides structural stability against a Drogheda squad that remains completely winless in their last four away league visits. Derry City are unbeaten in their last six matches at the Brandywell, providing a strong home baseline.

BT4Y best bet

S: a home victory (1), a draw (X), or an away victory (2)

  • At 11/4, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • On paper, that system gives Derry natural width and the chance to stretch Drogheda’s back four, especially if the wing-backs can advance without leaving.
  • Derry City show a 80% BTTS rate and Drogheda United show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Derry City average 1.4 goals scored and Drogheda United average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Derry City show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Drogheda United show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. On paper, that system gives Derry natural width and the chance to stretch Drogheda’s back four, especially if the wing-backs can advance without leaving.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Strong positive
Derry City show a 80% BTTS rate and Drogheda United.Visible data support
Positive
Derry City average 1.4 goals scored and Drogheda United average.Visible data support
Positive
On paper, that system gives Derry natural width.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because on paper, that system gives Derry natural width and the chance to stretch Drogheda’s back four, especially if the wing-backs can advance without leaving too much space behind them. Derry City show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Drogheda United show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. They are competitive enough to stay in matches, but not ruthless enough to make every good spell count.

Main risk

They are competitive enough to stay in matches, but not ruthless enough to make every good spell count.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

On paper, that system gives Derry natural width and the chance to stretch Drogheda’s back four, especially if.

Derry City show a 80% BTTS rate and Drogheda United show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Derry City average 1.4 goals scored and Drogheda United average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Derry City1.4
Avg goals scored
Drogheda United1.4
Derry City1.2
Avg goals conceded
Drogheda United2
Derry City80%
BTTS rate
Drogheda United80%
Derry City60%
Over 2.5 goals
Drogheda United60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Derry City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Derry City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Derry City3.5
Avg corners for
Drogheda United4
Derry City9.5
Avg total corners
Drogheda United7
Derry City4.5
Avg yellow cards
Drogheda United4
Derry City12
Avg shots
Drogheda United8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Derry City

DLWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
22 Jun 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-1
19 Jun 2026A Galway United1-2
12 Jun 2026H Bohemians4-1
29 May 2026A Dundalk1-2
25 May 2026H Shelbourne0-0

Drogheda United

DLDDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
19 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
12 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
29 May 2026H Waterford3-3
22 May 2026H Dundalk1-1
18 May 2026A Waterford1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +10.3 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Derry City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Derry City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Derry City wins
4Draws
4Drogheda United wins
08 May 2026Drogheda United v Derry City1-0
20 Mar 2026Derry City v Drogheda United2-2
26 Sep 2025Drogheda United v Derry City1-1
16 Aug 2025Derry City v Drogheda United1-1
27 Jun 2025Derry City v Drogheda United3-0
16 May 2025Drogheda United v Derry City1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Derry City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Derry City25
Played
Drogheda United0
Derry City1.3
Avg goals for
Drogheda United-
Derry City1.2
Avg goals against
Drogheda United-
Derry City6
Clean sheets
Drogheda United-
Best odds for this sectionDrogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Derry City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Derry City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Season data supports Drogheda United Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Derry City292561181
8Drogheda United25246711-12
Derry City sit in position 6, while Drogheda United sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Derry City Over 2.5
60%Drogheda United Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Derry City sit at 60% and Drogheda United sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Derry City v Drogheda United prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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