Football Stats Hub

Derry City crestDerry City
v
Drogheda United crestDrogheda United

Premier Division | Fri 26 Jun, 19:45

Derry City v Drogheda United Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Derry City host Drogheda United at the Brandywell Stadium in a Premier Division clash charged with tension and tactical nuance. Derry arrive unbeaten in six home matches, aiming to break a recent winless streak against Drogheda, who have scored in every league game over their last six but struggle defensively. Both teams sit close in the table, adding urgency to this fixture. Derry's 3-4-3 formation seeks to exploit wide areas and possession control, while Drogheda's attacking threat, led by Oluwa and Doyle, promises goals despite defensive vulnerabilities. This encounter promises a competitive, high-stakes contest with both sides eager to assert control.

BT4Y best bet

Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Derry City unbeaten in last six home matches, showing strong home resilience
  • Drogheda United have scored in six consecutive league games but conceded in all
  • Last six head-to-head matches averaged 2.33 goals, indicating attacking balance
  • Derry's 3-4-3 system aims to stretch Drogheda’s defense via wing-backs
  • Drogheda’s away form weak with no wins in last four road league matches

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score with a 52.4% chance, reflecting Derry's solid home form and Drogheda's consistent scoring despite defensive frailties. The 3-4-3 tactical setup offers Derry width and control, while Drogheda's attack, led by Oluwa and Doyle, is capable of breaching defenses. The price at 3.75 offers strong value given the implied chance of 26.7%. Both teams' recent form and historical goal patterns support a competitive match with goals at both ends. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Model Chance52.4%
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model26.7% vs 52.4%
Strong positive
Recent FormDerry unbeaten at home; Drogheda scoring consistently
Positive
Tactical SetupDerry's 3-4-3 vs Drogheda's attacking threat
Positive
Historical Goals2.33 average goals in last six meetings
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Derry City’s unbeaten home streak and tactical width provide a solid foundation to secure victory, while Drogheda’s persistent scoring threat ensures goals at both ends. The match promises a tactical battle with attacking intent from both sides, making the combined bet a fitting reflection of the fixture’s dynamics.

Main risk

The main risk lies in Derry City's high number of draws this season and their recent inability to beat Drogheda in league matches, which could limit the expected control and goal margin.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking balance

“Derry’s structured possession and wing-back overloads should test Drogheda’s fragile defense, but Drogheda’s consistent scoring means this will be a lively contest with goals from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Derry City unbeaten in last six home matches, showing strong home resilience

Drogheda United have scored in six consecutive league games but conceded in all

Last six head-to-head matches averaged 2.33 goals, indicating attacking balance

Derry's 3-4-3 system aims to stretch Drogheda’s defense via wing-backs

What To Watch In The Data

Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams have consistently contributed to this total, suggesting a match tempo that supports over 2.5 goals.
  • This trend aligns with recent form data showing frequent goal-scoring and conceding by both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Derry City1.4
Avg goals scored
Drogheda United1.4
Derry City1.2
Avg goals conceded
Drogheda United2
Derry City80%
BTTS rate
Drogheda United80%
Derry City60%
Over 2.5 goals
Drogheda United60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have shown reliable scoring ability recently, with Drogheda scoring in six consecutive matches and Derry averaging over a goal per home game. The last six head-to-heads averaged 2.33 goals, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends. Defensive vulnerabilities on Drogheda’s side further support the BTTS angle.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDerry City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 77% · edge -12.3 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Derry City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The price of 3.75 for Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score represents strong value, with the model assigning over 50% chance to this outcome. The significant of 25.7% indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of this combined result, supported by Derry’s home resilience and Drogheda’s scoring consistency.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Derry City5
Avg corners for
Drogheda United3.75
Derry City10.33
Avg total corners
Drogheda United10
Derry City3.33
Avg yellow cards
Drogheda United2.75
Derry City12.33
Avg shots
Drogheda United10.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 54% · edge -1.5 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Derry City average 12.33 shots and 5 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control at home. Drogheda’s 10.75 shots and 3.75 corners per game show they remain a threat going forward. Card averages suggest a moderately physical contest, with Derry slightly higher in fouls and yellows, reflecting their pressing style.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Derry City

DLWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
22 Jun 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-1
19 Jun 2026A Galway United1-2
12 Jun 2026H Bohemians4-1
29 May 2026A Dundalk1-2
25 May 2026H Shelbourne0-0

Drogheda United

DLDDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
19 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
12 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
29 May 2026H Waterford3-3
22 May 2026H Dundalk1-1
18 May 2026A Waterford1-2
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 89% · edge -7.7 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Derry City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Derry City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Derry City’s recent form shows competitive resilience with 5 points from the last three matches and a strong home goal rate of 1.4 per game. Drogheda United also average 1.4 goals but concede more heavily, with 2 goals against per match, highlighting defensive frailty. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and an 80% BTTS rate, supporting an open, goal-involved game.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Derry City wins
4Draws
4Drogheda United wins
08 May 2026Drogheda United v Derry City1-0
20 Mar 2026Derry City v Drogheda United2-2
26 Sep 2025Drogheda United v Derry City1-1
16 Aug 2025Derry City v Drogheda United1-1
27 Jun 2025Derry City v Drogheda United3-0
16 May 2025Drogheda United v Derry City1-1
Market aligned with main pickDerry City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 65% · edge -9.1 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The recent head-to-head record is balanced, with one win each and four draws in the last six league meetings. The total of 14 goals across these matches shows competitive but not dominant performances from either side. This parity suggests the match outcome will hinge on small tactical details and current form rather than historical control.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Derry City23
Played
Drogheda United21
Derry City1.2
Avg goals for
Drogheda United1.3
Derry City1.2
Avg goals against
Drogheda United1.7
Derry City5
Clean sheets
Drogheda United6
Market aligned with main pickDerry City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 77% · edge -12.3 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Derry City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over the season, Derry City have scored 27 goals and conceded 26, demonstrating a balanced but slightly vulnerable defense. Drogheda United have matched Derry’s 27 goals scored but conceded 36, indicating defensive weaknesses. This imbalance favors Derry’s home advantage and suggests opportunities for Drogheda to score despite likely defeat.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Derry City262351171
8Drogheda United2221579-9
Derry City sit sixth with 26 points, narrowly ahead of Drogheda United in eighth with 22 points. The close table proximity adds competitive pressure, with Derry seeking to consolidate mid-table security and Drogheda aiming to close the gap. The standings reflect the importance of this fixture for momentum rather than title or relegation stakes.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Derry City Over 2.5
60%Drogheda United Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams have consistently contributed to this total, suggesting a match tempo that supports over 2.5 goals. This trend aligns with recent form data showing frequent goal-scoring and conceding by both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Derry City v Drogheda United prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Shamrock Rovers v Galway UnitedPremier Division · Fri 26 Jun 19:30Dundalk v WaterfordPremier Division · Fri 26 Jun 19:45Bohemians v St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division · Fri 26 Jun 20:00Sligo Rovers v ShelbournePremier Division · Sat 27 Jun 19:45

Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Derry City v Drogheda Unitedcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre