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Fenerbahçe crestFenerbahçe
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Liverpool crestLiverpool

UEFA Champions League | Wed 04 Nov, 17:45

Fenerbahçe v Liverpool Stats

Data last updated: Tue 03 Nov 2026, 10:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool travel to Istanbul aiming to maintain their perfect Champions League start with nine points from three matches, showcasing strong away form and attacking prowess. Fenerbahçe, under interim manager Dirk Kuyt, face defensive challenges with key absences and have struggled for results, though they boast a remarkable home scoring streak of 16 consecutive competitive matches. Liverpool's attacking depth, led by Alexis Mac Allister, contrasts with Fenerbahçe's defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a competitive encounter where both teams are likely to find the net, but Liverpool are favored to secure the win.

BT4Y best bet

Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Liverpool are unbeaten in five away matches this season, scoring 13 goals.
  • Fenerbahçe have scored in 16 consecutive competitive home matches.
  • Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister has scored three Champions League goals in three appearances this season.
  • Fenerbahçe face defensive absences with Jayden Oosterwolde and Kojo Peprah Oppong unavailable, Nathan Ake doubtful.
  • Both teams have conceded goals recently, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score highly due to Liverpool's flawless Champions League away record and potent attack, combined with Fenerbahçe's consistent home scoring and defensive disruptions. Liverpool's ability to score multiple goals aligns with Fenerbahçe's vulnerability at the back, while the hosts' scoring streak ensures they will likely breach Liverpool's defense. The 2.625 offer positive value against the model's 50.5% win probability. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Liverpool Away FormUnbeaten in 5 matches, 13 goals scored
Strong positive
Fenerbahçe Home Scoring16 consecutive matches with goals
Strong positive
Defensive AbsencesFenerbahçe missing key defenders
Positive
Liverpool Defensive Concessions6 goals conceded in 5 away matches
Positive
Price vs Model Chance48% model chance vs 38.1% implied (+9.9 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Liverpool's superior European form and attacking firepower make them the clear favorites to win this match. Meanwhile, Fenerbahçe's strong home scoring record and Liverpool's defensive vulnerabilities suggest both teams will score. This combination of tactical strengths and weaknesses supports the selection of Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and scoring

“Liverpool's attacking depth and unbeaten away streak in Europe position them well to overcome Fenerbahçe's resilient home scoring, despite defensive absences on both sides. Expect an open game with goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Liverpool are unbeaten in five away matches this season, scoring 13 goals.

Fenerbahçe have scored in 16 consecutive competitive home matches.

Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister has scored three Champions League goals in three appearances this season.

Fenerbahçe face defensive absences with Jayden Oosterwolde and Kojo Peprah Oppong unavailable, Nathan Ake doubtful.

What To Watch In The Data

Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Liverpool have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Fenerbahçe have 60%.
  • The trend of high-scoring games, combined with Liverpool's attacking style and Fenerbahçe's defensive frailties, suggests a fast-paced match with multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams scoring and a lively encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fenerbahçe1.2
Avg goals scored
Liverpool4
Fenerbahçe2.2
Avg goals conceded
Liverpool2.33
Fenerbahçe80%
BTTS rate
Liverpool100%
Fenerbahçe60%
Over 2.5 goals
Liverpool100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability recently: Fenerbahçe have netted in 80% of their last five matches and Liverpool in 100%, with Liverpool's matches always featuring BTTS. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a high likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS component of the pick.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Champions League analysisFenerbahçe v Liverpool predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Liverpool Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 48% for Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 38.1% implied by the current price (+9.9 pts). Liverpool need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Fenerbahçe on 6 and Liverpool on 9. The 1-2 score reflects Liverpool's capped away scoring and Fenerbahce's consistent home goals, despite defensive risks.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fenerbahçe

DLDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 1L
20 Oct 2026H Slavia Praha2-2
14 Oct 2026A Aston Villa0-6
10 Sep 2026H AS Roma1-1
26 Aug 2026A Lyon2-1
18 Aug 2026H Lyon1-1

Liverpool

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
20 Oct 2026H Villarreal4-3
14 Oct 2026A Lask Linz6-3
09 Sep 2026H Atletico Madrid2-1
Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Liverpool Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Liverpool have won all three of their Champions League matches, scoring four goals per game on average and conceding 2.33, showing potent offense but some defensive fragility. Fenerbahçe have scored 1.2 goals per game but conceded 2.2, reflecting defensive struggles. Both teams' recent form supports a competitive match with goals at both ends and Liverpool as favorites to win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Fenerbahçe Over 2.5
100%Liverpool Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Liverpool have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Fenerbahçe have 60%. The trend of high-scoring games, combined with Liverpool's attacking style and Fenerbahçe's defensive frailties, suggests a fast-paced match with multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams scoring and a lively encounter.

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