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Alanyaspor crestAlanyaspor
v
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

Süper Lig | Sun 23 Aug, 19:30

Alanyaspor v Beşiktaş Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alanyaspor hosts Beşiktaş in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown cautious attacking output early in the season. Alanyaspor has scored just once and conceded once in their opening match, while Beşiktaş secured a 3-point start with a clean sheet but only one goal scored. Both sides appear to prioritize defensive solidity, with Alanyaspor yet to see a game exceed 2.5 goals this season and Beşiktaş maintaining a tight backline. This encounter promises a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities, making a low-scoring affair likely.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Alanyaspor has a 0% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating low-scoring matches.
  • Beşiktaş also has not featured in any Over 2.5 Goals games so far this term.
  • Beşiktaş averages 19 shots per game but only 5 on target, suggesting inefficiency in finishing.
  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, but recent form points to tighter defenses.
  • Alanyaspor concedes just 1 goal per game, showing defensive discipline early in the campaign.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting both teams' early-season defensive focus and low scoring. Alanyaspor's matches have yet to surpass 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş's solid defensive record complements this trend. Despite Beşiktaş's higher shot volume, their finishing inefficiency and Alanyaspor's resilience suggest limited goal-scoring opportunities. The model's positive of 16% indicates this market is a strong football-led choice without price sensitivity. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Probability66% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Alanyaspor Over 2.5 Rate0% this season
Strong positive
Beşiktaş Defensive Record0 goals conceded so far
Strong positive
Beşiktaş Shot Volume vs FinishingHigh shots but moderate accuracy
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.3 goals over 10 matches
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible selection given both teams' early-season defensive discipline and low scoring output. Alanyaspor’s cautious approach and Beşiktaş’s finishing inefficiency suggest a tight game with limited clear-cut chances. The data supports a low-scoring match where defensive organization will be key.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical defensive emphasis and low scoring

“This fixture looks set for a tactical midfield battle with both sides prioritizing defensive structure over open attacking play, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Beşiktaş averages 19 shots per game but only 5 on target, suggesting inefficiency in finishing.

The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, but recent form points to tighter defenses.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, suggesting historically open games.
  • However, recent season trends show both teams playing tighter, lower-scoring matches.
  • This shift in tempo and defensive focus points to a reduced likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this specific encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Alanyaspor4
Avg corners for
Beşiktaş8
Alanyaspor4
Avg total corners
Beşiktaş10
Alanyaspor3
Avg yellow cards
Beşiktaş2
Alanyaspor11
Avg shots
Beşiktaş19
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Beşiktaş averages double the corners of Alanyaspor (8 vs 4), reflecting territorial control, but this has not translated into high-quality chances. Both teams maintain moderate card counts, with Alanyaspor slightly more prone to fouls. The shot volume disparity favors Beşiktaş but their finishing inefficiency tempers goal expectations.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alanyaspor1
Avg goals scored
Beşiktaş1
Alanyaspor1
Avg goals conceded
Beşiktaş0
Alanyaspor100%
BTTS rate
Beşiktaş0%
Alanyaspor0%
Over 2.5 goals
Beşiktaş0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Alanyaspor has a 100% BTTS rate but in low-scoring games, while Beşiktaş has a 0% BTTS rate, indicating their matches often end with clean sheets. Both teams’ low goal totals and defensive focus suggest limited goal-scoring opportunities, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBeşiktaş Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Alanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at around 2.0 , reflecting a 50% implied chance versus the model’s 66% probability. This positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a low-scoring game, making it a favorable bet without price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alanyaspor

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
15 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK1-1

Beşiktaş

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026H Eyüpspor1-0
Best odds for this sectionBeşiktaş Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Alanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Both teams have started the season with low-scoring matches: Alanyaspor scored and conceded just one goal in their opener, while Beşiktaş kept a clean sheet but scored only once. Neither side has featured in Over 2.5 Goals games yet, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring contest.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Alanyaspor wins
5Draws
3Beşiktaş wins
23 Apr 2026Beşiktaş v Alanyaspor3-0
08 Feb 2026Beşiktaş v Alanyaspor2-2
31 Aug 2025Alanyaspor v Beşiktaş2-0
18 May 2025Alanyaspor v Beşiktaş1-1
21 Dec 2024Beşiktaş v Alanyaspor1-1
12 May 2024Alanyaspor v Beşiktaş1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Alanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 3.3 goals per game, indicating historically open contests. Despite this, current form and tactical setups suggest that previous high-scoring trends may not repeat, making the historical data a weaker guide compared to recent defensive performances.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Alanyaspor1
Played
Beşiktaş1
Alanyaspor1
Avg goals for
Beşiktaş1
Alanyaspor1
Avg goals against
Beşiktaş0
Alanyaspor0
Clean sheets
Beşiktaş1
Best odds for this sectionBeşiktaş Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Alanyaspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Alanyaspor’s season stats show a strong defensive record with only one goal conceded and no Over 2.5 Goals matches, highlighting a conservative approach. Beşiktaş’s defense is similarly robust with zero goals conceded and a low BTTS rate, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals market as both teams prioritize defensive stability.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Beşiktaş311001
11Alanyaspor110100
Alanyaspor sits mid-table with 1 point, while Beşiktaş is positioned higher with 3 points after one round. Early standings reflect initial form but do not heavily influence this fixture’s tactical approach, which is more shaped by defensive caution and the desire to avoid early setbacks.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Alanyaspor Over 2.5
0%Beşiktaş Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, suggesting historically open games. However, recent season trends show both teams playing tighter, lower-scoring matches. This shift in tempo and defensive focus points to a reduced likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this specific encounter.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.