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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt
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Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK

Eliteserien | Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Bodo/Glimt v Kristiansund BK Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bodo/Glimt enter this fixture with commanding recent control over Kristiansund BK, having won 82% of their matches this year and outscoring Kristiansund BK 9-1 across two meetings in the current season. Their aggressive high-press and wide attacking play have overwhelmed Kristiansund BK's compact defensive blocks, resulting in multiple high-scoring victories including 5-0 and 4-1 wins. Kristiansund BK, struggling with defensive cohesion and a low 18% win rate, face a stern test to contain Bodo/Glimt's relentless offensive rhythm. This friendly, though a pre-season fixture, carries competitive edge as both sides seek to assert form and tactical sharpness.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Bodo/Glimt have scored at least four goals in four of their last five matches.
  • Recent head-to-heads show Bodo/Glimt winning 5-0 and 4-1 against Kristiansund BK this year.
  • Bodo/Glimt maintain an 82% win rate in 22 matches this year, Kristiansund BK only 18% in 17 matches.
  • Kristiansund BK’s defensive vulnerabilities have led to conceding multiple goals in recent games.
  • The tactical setup favors Bodo/Glimt’s high press and wide attacking overloads against Kristiansund BK’s narrow defensive block.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 58% chance to Over 3.5 Goals, reflecting Bodo/Glimt's prolific scoring form and Kristiansund BK's defensive frailties. Bodo/Glimt have consistently breached high total goals lines, scoring four or more in four of their last five matches, including dominant wins over Kristiansund BK. The tactical approach of high pressing and wide play creates numerous scoring opportunities, while Kristiansund BK's low win rate and structural defensive issues increase the likelihood of a high-scoring contest. No price warning is necessary as the fairly reflect the model's positive .

Bodo/Glimt scoring rate4+ goals in 4 of last 5 matches
Strong positive
Kristiansund BK defensive recordConceded 9 goals in 2 matches vs Bodo/Glimt
Strong positive
Head-to-head recent results5-0 and 4-1 wins for Bodo/Glimt
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied odds58% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+2.4 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bodo/Glimt’s relentless attacking style and recent control over Kristiansund BK make a high-scoring game very likely. Their ability to exploit wide areas and press aggressively has repeatedly broken down Kristiansund BK’s defensive block. The data confirms Bodo/Glimt’s superior form and scoring power, supporting the expectation of a match with at least four goals.

Main risk

With the favorites scoring freely but occasionally showing vulnerability at the back—conceding in recent matches against Brann and Molde—a repeat of the comfortable 4-1 scoreline offers strong analytical alignment.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and scoring control

“Bodo/Glimt’s tactical identity of high pressing and wide attacking overloads consistently overwhelms Kristiansund BK’s narrow defensive setup, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling expectation in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Bodo/Glimt have scored at least four goals in four of their last five matches.

Recent head-to-heads show Bodo/Glimt winning 5-0 and 4-1 against Kristiansund BK this year.

Bodo/Glimt maintain an 82% win rate in 22 matches this year, Kristiansund BK only 18% in 17 matches.

Kristiansund BK’s defensive vulnerabilities have led to conceding multiple goals in recent games.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 4, confirming a trend of high-scoring encounters between these teams.
  • This sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style that favors multiple goals, consistent with Bodo/Glimt’s attacking approach and Kristiansund BK’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bodo/Glimt2.4
Avg goals scored
Kristiansund BK1.2
Bodo/Glimt1.6
Avg goals conceded
Kristiansund BK2.8
Bodo/Glimt100%
BTTS rate
Kristiansund BK60%
Bodo/Glimt100%
Over 2.5 goals
Kristiansund BK60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Bodo/Glimt have scored at least four goals in four of their last five matches, while Kristiansund BK have shown some ability to score, registering goals in recent draws. Both teams to score is supported by Bodo/Glimt’s offensive pressure and Kristiansund BK’s occasional counter-attacks, making Over 2.5 Goals a natural route to Over 3.5 Goals in this game.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Kristiansund BK to WinBetfred guide price · model 20%
21
Check odds @ 21
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
12
Check odds @ 12
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Bodo/Glimt to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+2.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Bodo/Glimt and 60% for Kristiansund BK, so the goals angle is not just a price call. 🎯 Main Bet Analysis: Bodo Glimt to Win & Over 3.5 Goals
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bodo/Glimt

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 1L
20 Sep 2026A Brann1-2
14 Sep 2026H Sandefjord3-2
04 Sep 2026A Fredrikstad2-1
30 Aug 2026H Rosenborg4-2
08 Aug 2026A Valerenga2-1

Kristiansund BK

LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
19 Sep 2026H Rosenborg1-3
13 Sep 2026A Viking1-8
06 Sep 2026H Tromso2-0
30 Aug 2026A Ham-Kam2-2
16 Aug 2026A Fredrikstad0-1
Best odds for this sectionKristiansund BK to WinBetfred guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
21
Check odds @ 21
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
12
Check odds @ 12
Bodo/Glimt to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Bodo/Glimt’s recent form is exceptional, with 12 points from their last matches and a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, underscoring their consistent high-scoring output. Kristiansund BK have collected 4 points with a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing more defensive frailty and less offensive consistency, reinforcing expectations for a high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
60%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 4, confirming a trend of high-scoring encounters between these teams. This sample suggests a fast tempo and open play style that favors multiple goals, consistent with Bodo/Glimt’s attacking approach and Kristiansund BK’s defensive vulnerabilities.

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