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Virtus Entella crestVirtus Entella
v
Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia

Serie B | Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

Virtus Entella v Juve Stabia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown a tendency to concede and score this season. Virtus Entella, ranked 14th, have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Juve Stabia, struggling at 19th, have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.4 on average. Both teams have collected 5 points recently, indicating competitive but inconsistent form. This fixture promises open play with attacking intent from both sides, setting the stage for a match where both teams are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Virtus Entella averages 14.8 shots per game with 3.8 on target, showing attacking pressure.
  • Juve Stabia also averages 14.8 shots with 4.4 on target, reflecting offensive intent.
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting BTTS.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.2 goals, suggesting open games between these sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 51.3%, indicating strong value at 1.95 . Both teams display balanced attacking and defensive profiles with similar shot volumes and BTTS rates of 60%. Recent form data confirms both sides have found the net consistently, and the average goals in their last five meetings support an open game. This combination of data and tactical openness makes the BTTS selection a compelling choice without price warnings.

Model Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams60%
Strong positive
Average Shots Per Game14.8 each
Positive
Recent Form Points5 each
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities that suggest a high chance of mutual scoring. Virtus Entella's slightly better attacking output combined with Juve Stabia's willingness to shoot creates a scenario where both sides are likely to score. The data supports this tactical outlook, making BTTS a sensible selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“The balance of attacking intent and defensive frailty on both sides makes a compelling case for both teams to find the net in this Serie B encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Virtus Entella averages 14.8 shots per game with 3.8 on target, showing attacking pressure.

Juve Stabia also averages 14.8 shots with 4.4 on target, reflecting offensive intent.

Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting BTTS.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have contributed to a moderate goal tempo with an average of 2.2 goals in their head-to-head meetings.
  • Virtus Entella’s 60% Over 2.5 rate and Juve Stabia’s 40% indicate a tendency for open games, with transitions and attacking play likely to create multiple scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Virtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 66.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Virtus Entella show a 60% BTTS rate and Juve Stabia show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Virtus Entella1.4
Avg goals scored
Juve Stabia0.8
Virtus Entella1.2
Avg goals conceded
Juve Stabia1.4
Virtus Entella60%
BTTS rate
Juve Stabia60%
Virtus Entella60%
Over 2.5 goals
Juve Stabia40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, reflecting frequent mutual scoring. Virtus Entella averages 1.4 goals per game, while Juve Stabia averages 0.8, with both conceding over one goal per match. Their last five head-to-heads averaged 2.2 goals, supporting an open game with goals at both ends.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Virtus Entella

DWDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Cremonese0-0
11 Sep 2026A Pisa4-1
06 Sep 2026H Vicenza Virtus2-2
29 Aug 2026H Cesena1-2
22 Aug 2026A Sudtirol0-1

Juve Stabia

DDLWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
18 Sep 2026H Cesena1-1
12 Sep 2026A Vicenza Virtus1-1
06 Sep 2026H Pisa0-3
29 Aug 2026A Sampdoria2-1
23 Aug 2026A Palermo0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 56% · edge +8.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Virtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Recent form shows both teams earning 5 points, with Virtus Entella scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.2 per game, and Juve Stabia scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. Both sides have a 60% BTTS rate in recent matches, confirming a trend of both teams scoring. This form data supports an expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Virtus Entella Over 2.5
40%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have contributed to a moderate goal tempo with an average of 2.2 goals in their head-to-head meetings. Virtus Entella’s 60% Over 2.5 rate and Juve Stabia’s 40% indicate a tendency for open games, with transitions and attacking play likely to create multiple scoring opportunities.

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