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PKKU crestPKKU
v
SalPa crestSalPa

Ykkönen | Sat 10 Oct, 12:00

PKKU v SalPa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PKKU face SalPa in Ykkönen on Sat 10 Oct, 12:00. PKKU come in with 7 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while SalPa have 12 points and 3.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

SalPa to Win

  • At 2.15, SalPa to Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for PKKU.
  • PKKU have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the SalPa to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • PKKU sit 7 in the table, while SalPa sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for SalPa to Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for PKKU.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Strong positive
SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
PKKU have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: SalPa Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for PKKU. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

SalPa to Win evidence

SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 7 for PKKU.

PKKU have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the SalPa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

PKKU sit 7 in the table, while SalPa sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

SalPa to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    PKKU1.8
    Avg goals scored
    SalPa3.6
    PKKU1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    SalPa2.4
    PKKU60%
    BTTS rate
    SalPa100%
    PKKU80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    SalPa100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 77% · edge -0.9 pts
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for PKKU and 100% for SalPa, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSalPa to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    SalPa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    SalPa to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    PKKU

    LWLWD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    26 Sep 2026A OLS0-3
    19 Sep 2026H Rops3-1
    12 Sep 2026A Tampere United2-3
    29 Aug 2026A TPV2-0
    21 Aug 2026H JJK2-2

    SalPa

    LWWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 4L
    26 Sep 2026A Rops1-3
    19 Sep 2026H Tampere United6-4
    12 Sep 2026H JJK4-3
    29 Aug 2026A KuPS Akatemia3-1
    22 Aug 2026H OLS4-1
    Market aligned with main pickSalPa to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    SalPa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%PKKU Over 2.5
    100%SalPa Over 2.5
    1.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: PKKU sit at 80% and SalPa sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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