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Ipswich crestIpswich
v
Fulham crestFulham

Premier League | Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Ipswich v Fulham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 21:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ipswich face Fulham in Premier League on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00. Despite Ipswich’s defensive weaknesses, Fulham’s limited offensive threat suggests Ipswich are well placed to secure a home win in this fixture. Ipswich’s strong home scoring record and attacking variety contrast with Fulham’s poor away scoring form and Gonzalo Garcia’s goal drought.

BT4Y best bet

Ipswich Town to Win

  • At 9/5, Ipswich Town to Win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.
  • Seven in nine: Fulham have failed to score in seven of their last nine away matches.
  • Ipswich have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham.
  • Fulham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Ipswich Town to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Ipswich sit 12 in the table, while Fulham sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 51% for Ipswich Town to Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Ipswich have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham. Seven in nine: Fulham have failed to score in seven of their last nine away matches.

Model chance vs price51% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
Ipswich have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Fulham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Seven in nine: Fulham have failed to score in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Ipswich Win is the preferred angle because seven in nine: Fulham have failed to score in seven of their last nine away matches. Ipswich have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Ipswich Town to Win evidence

Seven in nine: Fulham have failed to score in seven of their last nine away matches.

Ipswich have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham.

Fulham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Ipswich Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Ipswich sit 12 in the table, while Fulham sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Ipswich Town to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Ipswich1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Fulham1
    Ipswich2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Fulham1.6
    Ipswich60%
    BTTS rate
    Fulham60%
    Ipswich60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fulham40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Ipswich and 60% for Fulham, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Ipswich

    LWLLW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 3L
    19 Sep 2026A Everton0-1
    12 Sep 2026A Crystal Palace3-2
    04 Sep 2026H Liverpool0-2
    30 Aug 2026A Manchester United2-5
    22 Aug 2026H Sunderland2-1

    Fulham

    DDLLL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 3L
    20 Sep 2026H Manchester United1-1
    12 Sep 2026A Liverpool0-0
    05 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace2-3
    30 Aug 2026A Sunderland0-1
    24 Aug 2026H Chelsea2-3
    Market aligned with main pickIpswich to WinBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Ipswich Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIpswich to WinBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Ipswich Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Ipswich to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Ipswich Over 2.5
    40%Fulham Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ipswich sit at 60% and Fulham sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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