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Edinburgh City crestEdinburgh City
v
Spartans crestSpartans

League Two | Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Edinburgh City v Spartans Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Edinburgh City and Spartans meet in a League Two clash where attacking intent has been notable from both sides recently. Edinburgh City averages 2.6 goals scored per game and concedes 1.6, showing a tendency for open play and goal opportunities. Spartans, positioned higher in the table, also contribute to an attacking spectacle with 2 goals per game but concede 1.8 on average. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a fixture likely to feature multiple goals and offensive exchanges.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Edinburgh City scores 2.6 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form
  • Spartans average 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, suggesting open games
  • Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.67 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich encounter

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 62.1% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, slightly above the implied market chance of 59.9%, indicating a modest . Both teams show consistent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent form and head-to-head data reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The balance of offensive potency and defensive concessions supports the expectation of at least three goals in this fixture.

Model Chance62.1% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+2.2 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance62.1% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+2.2 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge62.1% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+2.2 pts)
Positive
Recent Form Goal RatesEdinburgh City 2.6, Spartans 2.0 goals per game
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.67 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Edinburgh City and Spartans have shown offensive strengths and defensive frailties this season. The goal averages and recent form data suggest a lively match with multiple scoring chances, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection based on tactical openness and scoring trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This fixture features two teams with attacking ambitions but defensive vulnerabilities, creating fertile ground for goals. The consistent scoring rates and historical match data point towards a lively encounter with Over 2.5 Goals as a logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Edinburgh City scores 2.6 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form

Spartans average 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, suggesting open games

Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season

Head-to-head meetings average 2.67 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich encounter

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.67, reinforcing the trend for multiple goals in this fixture.
  • This sample highlights a history of open contests with both teams contributing to the scoreline, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Edinburgh City2.6
Avg goals scored
Spartans2
Edinburgh City1.6
Avg goals conceded
Spartans1.8
Edinburgh City80%
BTTS rate
Spartans40%
Edinburgh City60%
Over 2.5 goals
Spartans60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +2.2 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams demonstrate attacking intent with Edinburgh City scoring 2.6 goals per game and Spartans 2.0, while defensive records show vulnerabilities. Edinburgh City has an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting frequent goal exchanges, while Spartans have a lower 40% BTTS rate, indicating some defensive solidity but still enough openness for goals.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more League Two analysisplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +2.2 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Edinburgh City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Edinburgh City to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Spartans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
The 62.1% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+2.2 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Edinburgh City and 60% for Spartans, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Edinburgh City

DWWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 2L
03 Oct 2026A Stranraer0-0
19 Sep 2026A Kelty Hearts3-1
12 Sep 2026H Stirling Albion7-3
05 Sep 2026A Clyde2-3
28 Aug 2026H Forfar Athletic1-1

Spartans

LLWWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
03 Oct 2026H Kelty Hearts0-2
19 Sep 2026A Dumbarton0-3
12 Sep 2026H Forfar Athletic5-1
05 Sep 2026A Stirling Albion2-0
29 Aug 2026H Clyde3-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 67% · edge +13 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Edinburgh City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Edinburgh City to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Spartans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Spartans to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Recent form shows Edinburgh City earning 8 points with an average of 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Spartans have 7 points with 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals matches, reflecting a trend towards higher-scoring games in their latest performances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Edinburgh City Over 2.5
60%Spartans Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.67, reinforcing the trend for multiple goals in this fixture. This sample highlights a history of open contests with both teams contributing to the scoreline, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

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