Football Stats Hub

Rops crestRops
v
JJK crestJJK

Ykkönen | Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

Rops v JJK Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rops face JJK in Ykkönen on Sat 10 Oct, 14:00. Rops come in with 7 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while JJK have 4 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

JJK to Win

  • At 6.5, JJK to Win implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
  • Rops have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for JJK.
  • Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the JJK to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Rops sit 2 in the table, while JJK sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 28% for JJK to Win sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Rops have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for JJK.

Model chance vs price28% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Positive
Rops have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: JJK Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rops have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for JJK. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

JJK to Win evidence

Rops have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for JJK.

Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the JJK Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Rops sit 2 in the table, while JJK sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

JJK to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Rops1.4
    Avg goals scored
    JJK2
    Rops1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    JJK2.8
    Rops60%
    BTTS rate
    JJK80%
    Rops60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    JJK100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 82% · edge -4 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    4.2
    Check odds @ 4.2
    Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Rops and 100% for JJK, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickJJK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 28% vs implied 15% · edge +12.5 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    JJK to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Rops

    WLDWL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    26 Sep 2026H SalPa3-1
    19 Sep 2026A PKKU1-3
    12 Sep 2026H OLS1-1
    29 Aug 2026H VJS2-0
    22 Aug 2026A Tampere United0-4

    JJK

    LLLWD
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 6L
    25 Sep 2026A Tampere United0-4
    19 Sep 2026H OLS1-3
    12 Sep 2026A SalPa3-4
    29 Aug 2026H KPV-j4-1
    21 Aug 2026A PKKU2-2
    Market aligned with main pickJJK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 28% vs implied 15% · edge +12.5 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Rops Over 2.5
    100%JJK Over 2.5
    3.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rops sit at 60% and JJK sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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