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Alanyaspor crestAlanyaspor
v
Erzurumspor FK crestErzurumspor FK

Süper Lig | Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

Alanyaspor v Erzurumspor FK Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alanyaspor face Erzurumspor FK in Süper Lig on Sat 10 Oct, 14:00. Alanyaspor come in with 10 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Erzurumspor FK have 7 points and 0.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Alanyaspor to Win

  • At 1.95, Alanyaspor to Win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Alanyaspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Erzurumspor FK.
  • Alanyaspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Alanyaspor to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Alanyaspor sit 5 in the table, while Erzurumspor FK sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Alanyaspor to Win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Alanyaspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Erzurumspor FK.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Positive
Alanyaspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Alanyaspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Alanyaspor Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Alanyaspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Erzurumspor FK. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Alanyaspor to Win evidence

Alanyaspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Erzurumspor FK.

Alanyaspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Alanyaspor Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Alanyaspor sit 5 in the table, while Erzurumspor FK sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Alanyaspor to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Alanyaspor1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Erzurumspor FK0.6
    Alanyaspor1
    Avg goals conceded
    Erzurumspor FK1.6
    Alanyaspor60%
    BTTS rate
    Erzurumspor FK20%
    Alanyaspor60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Erzurumspor FK40%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 44% · edge +11.7 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Alanyaspor

    WDWLW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 1L
    19 Sep 2026A Çorum FK2-1
    12 Sep 2026H Göztepe2-2
    07 Sep 2026A Rizespor1-0
    30 Aug 2026A Eyüpspor1-2
    23 Aug 2026H Beşiktaş1-0

    Erzurumspor FK

    WLWDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 3L
    20 Sep 2026H Samsunspor1-0
    11 Sep 2026A Beşiktaş0-3
    05 Sep 2026H Konyaspor1-0
    28 Aug 2026A Gençlerbirliği S.K.1-1
    21 Aug 2026H Galatasaray0-4
    Market aligned with main pickAlanyaspor to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 51% · edge +13.4 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Alanyaspor Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5

    Continue the research

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAlanyaspor to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 51% · edge +13.4 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Alanyaspor Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Alanyaspor to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Alanyaspor Over 2.5
    40%Erzurumspor FK Over 2.5
    3.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Alanyaspor sit at 60% and Erzurumspor FK sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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