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Benevento crestBenevento
v
Cesena crestCesena

Serie B | Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

Benevento v Cesena Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Benevento and Cesena meet in a Serie B clash where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but also a willingness to press and create set-piece opportunities. Both sides have accumulated 7 points so far, reflecting competitive but not dominant form. Benevento averages 6.2 corners per match, while Cesena contributes 3.8, suggesting a combined high corner count. The tactical setup hints at a contest with sustained wing play and defensive pressure, likely generating numerous corner situations. This fixture's tempo and physicality set the stage for an active corner market.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Benevento averages 6.2 corners per game, Cesena 3.8, combining for over 10 corners on average.
  • Both teams press actively, increasing the likelihood of forced clearances and corners.
  • Recent form shows both sides creating multiple wide attacks and set-piece chances.
  • The match tempo and defensive duels suggest sustained pressure leading to corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, supported by Benevento's strong average of 6.2 corners and Cesena's 3.8 per match. The combined average exceeds the 9.5 threshold comfortably. Both teams' playing styles involve wing play and pressing, which typically generate corner opportunities. The at 1.73 offer positive value with an 11.2% edge over the implied probability. is high at 81%, reflecting consistent corner generation patterns. No data limitations affect this prediction, making it a solid statistical and tactical pick.

Benevento average corners6.2 per match
Strong positive
Cesena average corners3.8 per match
Positive
Model chance vs implied chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence level81%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent wing attacks and defensive pressure leading to numerous corners. Benevento's higher corner average combined with Cesena's active pressing style supports the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners. The data and tactical context align well, making the Over 9.5 Corners a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corner market

“This fixture's corner market is shaped by Benevento's strong wing play and Cesena's pressing intensity, both contributing to a high volume of corner situations. The statistical backing and match tempo make Over 9.5 Corners a well-founded selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Benevento averages 6.2 corners per game, Cesena 3.8, combining for over 10 corners on average.

Both teams press actively, increasing the likelihood of forced clearances and corners.

Recent form shows both sides creating multiple wide attacks and set-piece chances.

The match tempo and defensive duels suggest sustained pressure leading to corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions seen in these meetings also correlate with increased corner opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Benevento1.2
Avg goals scored
Cesena1.4
Benevento1
Avg goals conceded
Cesena1.2
Benevento60%
BTTS rate
Cesena100%
Benevento40%
Over 2.5 goals
Cesena40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring rates with Benevento at 1.2 and Cesena at 1.4 goals per game, and both record a 40% Over 2.5 goals rate. Cesena's 100% BTTS rate contrasts with Benevento's 60%, suggesting open play and attacking intent. While goals may be moderate, the attacking pressure supports set-piece creation, indirectly boosting corner opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Benevento

WWLDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Carrarese1-0
11 Sep 2026H Hellas Verona3-1
05 Sep 2026A Ascoli0-1
30 Aug 2026H Sudtirol1-1
22 Aug 2026H Modena1-2

Cesena

DDDWD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 0L
18 Sep 2026A Juve Stabia1-1
12 Sep 2026H Cremonese2-2
06 Sep 2026H Mantova1-1
29 Aug 2026A Virtus Entella2-1
23 Aug 2026H Sampdoria1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Cesena Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Benevento to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Benevento Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form shows both teams earning 7 points with similar defensive concessions. Benevento and Cesena maintain corner averages consistent with their season stats, indicating stable attacking and pressing patterns. This consistency supports the expectation of a corner count exceeding 9.5 in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Cesena Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Benevento to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Benevento lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Cesena lower at 3.8.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Benevento Over 2.5
40%Cesena Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4, indicating open games with attacking intent. While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions seen in these meetings also correlate with increased corner opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.

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