Football Stats Hub

SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07
v
VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga | Sat 10 Oct, 14:30

SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 21:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Paderborn 07 hosts VfB Stuttgart in a Bundesliga clash where both teams seek to improve their early-season form. Paderborn has shown moderate attacking intent but struggles defensively, while Stuttgart has been more prolific going forward yet leaky at the back. The match promises open play with both sides eager to press and create chances, setting the stage for a contest with frequent set-piece opportunities. Tactical approaches suggest sustained wing play and crosses, increasing the likelihood of numerous corners in a competitive fixture with high tempo and transitional moments.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • SC Paderborn 07 averages 4 corners per game, Stuttgart 6.5, combining for 10.5 per match.
  • Both teams have attacking styles that generate wide play and crossing chances, boosting corner potential.
  • Recent form shows Paderborn and Stuttgart games often exceed 9.5 corners, reflecting active flank usage.
  • Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides lead to pressure and forced clearances, increasing corner counts.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, reflecting strong statistical backing from both teams' corner averages and attacking profiles. Stuttgart's 6.5 corners per game combined with Paderborn's 4 create a solid base for this bet. The match tempo and tactical tendencies toward wing play increase corner opportunities. is high at 81%, and the offer positive value with an 11.2% edge. No price warnings apply, making this a well-supported selection for corner markets.

Corner Averages10.5 combined corners per game
Strong positive
Attacking StyleWing play and crossing tendencies
Positive
Model Confidence81% confidence level
Strong positive
Value Edge69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with both SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart pushing wide and creating multiple crossing chances, which should translate into a high corner count. The statistical corner averages and attacking tendencies of both teams support the likelihood of exceeding 9.5 corners in this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“The combination of Stuttgart's aggressive wing play and Paderborn's defensive lapses sets up a strong scenario for a high number of corners. Both teams' styles naturally generate set-piece opportunities from wide areas, making over 9.5 corners a compelling market.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

SC Paderborn 07 averages 4 corners per game, Stuttgart 6.5, combining for 10.5 per match.

Both teams have attacking styles that generate wide play and crossing chances, boosting corner potential.

Recent form shows Paderborn and Stuttgart games often exceed 9.5 corners, reflecting active flank usage.

Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides lead to pressure and forced clearances, increasing corner counts.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, suggesting moderately open games.
  • Both teams have a high over 2.5 goals rate recently, especially Stuttgart at 75%, indicating a tempo and attacking intent that often results in numerous corners through sustained pressure and transitions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SC Paderborn 070.75
Avg goals scored
VfB Stuttgart1.5
SC Paderborn 071.25
Avg goals conceded
VfB Stuttgart2.25
SC Paderborn 0725%
BTTS rate
VfB Stuttgart75%
SC Paderborn 0750%
Over 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart75%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
While goalscoring is moderate, the attacking patterns of both teams encourage wide play and crossing, which often lead to corners. Paderborn's 50% over 2.5 goals rate and Stuttgart's 75% suggest open games that facilitate set-piece opportunities, supporting the corner market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Bundesliga fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
SC Paderborn 07 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
SC Paderborn 07 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). VfB Stuttgart lead the corner sample at 6.5 per match, with SC Paderborn 07 lower at 4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SC Paderborn 07

WLLD
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
20 Sep 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim3-1
12 Sep 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-3
05 Sep 2026H SC Freiburg0-1
29 Aug 2026A FSV Mainz 050-0

VfB Stuttgart

LLWL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
19 Sep 2026H Borussia Dortmund0-1
12 Sep 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
04 Sep 2026H 1. FC Köln4-1
28 Aug 2026A Bayern München1-5
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
SC Paderborn 07 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
SC Paderborn 07 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
VfB Stuttgart to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Recent matches for both teams show a tendency to surpass 9.5 corners, reflecting their attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities. Paderborn's games average 4 corners per match, Stuttgart's 6.5, and their combined recent form supports a high corner count in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%SC Paderborn 07 Over 2.5
75%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, suggesting moderately open games. Both teams have a high over 2.5 goals rate recently, especially Stuttgart at 75%, indicating a tempo and attacking intent that often results in numerous corners through sustained pressure and transitions.

Loading deeper match data…