Football Stats Hub

Samsunspor crestSamsunspor
v
Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor

Süper Lig | Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

Samsunspor v Trabzonspor Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Samsunspor face Trabzonspor in Süper Lig on Sat 10 Oct, 14:00. Samsunspor come in with 3 recent points and 0.6 goals per match, while Trabzonspor have 9 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Trabzonspor to Win

  • At 1.91, Trabzonspor to Win implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Trabzonspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Samsunspor.
  • Trabzonspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Trabzonspor to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Samsunspor sit 16 in the table, while Trabzonspor sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Trabzonspor to Win sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Trabzonspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Samsunspor.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Trabzonspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Trabzonspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Trabzonspor Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Trabzonspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Samsunspor. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Trabzonspor to Win evidence

Trabzonspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Samsunspor.

Trabzonspor have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Trabzonspor Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Samsunspor sit 16 in the table, while Trabzonspor sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Trabzonspor to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Samsunspor0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Trabzonspor2.4
    Samsunspor1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Trabzonspor0.8
    Samsunspor20%
    BTTS rate
    Trabzonspor40%
    Samsunspor20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Trabzonspor80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 46% · edge +5.2 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: Samsunspor concede 1.8 on average and Trabzonspor score 2.4, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickTrabzonspor to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Trabzonspor to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Samsunspor

    LLLLW
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 4L
    20 Sep 2026A Erzurumspor FK0-1
    12 Sep 2026H Çorum FK1-5
    06 Sep 2026A Kocaelispor0-1
    30 Aug 2026H Fenerbahçe0-2
    22 Aug 2026A Rizespor2-0

    Trabzonspor

    WLWLW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 2L
    19 Sep 2026H Galatasaray4-0
    12 Sep 2026A Konyaspor0-1
    06 Sep 2026H Gençlerbirliği S.K.5-0
    31 Aug 2026A Amed1-2
    23 Aug 2026H Başakşehir2-1
    Market aligned with main pickTrabzonspor to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Samsunspor Over 2.5
    80%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Samsunspor sit at 20% and Trabzonspor sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…