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1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 Hoffenheim
v
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV

Bundesliga | Sat 10 Oct, 14:30

1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 00:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

1899 Hoffenheim face Hamburger SV in Bundesliga on Sat 10 Oct, 14:30. 1899 Hoffenheim come in with 3 recent points and 1.75 goals per match, while Hamburger SV have 3 points and 0.5 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.57, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • 1899 Hoffenheim show a 100% BTTS rate and Hamburger SV show a 25% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • 1899 Hoffenheim average 1.75 goals scored and Hamburger SV average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. 1899 Hoffenheim show a 100% BTTS rate and Hamburger SV show a 25% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
1899 Hoffenheim show a 100% BTTS rate and Hamburger SV.Visible data support
Positive
1899 Hoffenheim average 1.75 goals scored and Hamburger SV average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers 1899 Hoffenheim show a 100% BTTS rate and Hamburger SV show a 25% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

1899 Hoffenheim show a 100% BTTS rate and Hamburger SV show a 25% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

1899 Hoffenheim average 1.75 goals scored and Hamburger SV average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

1899 Hoffenheim1.75
Avg goals scored
Hamburger SV0.5
1899 Hoffenheim2.5
Avg goals conceded
Hamburger SV3.25
1899 Hoffenheim100%
BTTS rate
Hamburger SV25%
1899 Hoffenheim100%
Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Hamburger SV to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

1899 Hoffenheim

LWLL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
20 Sep 2026A SC Paderborn 071-3
12 Sep 2026H VfB Stuttgart2-1
05 Sep 2026H Borussia Dortmund2-3
29 Aug 2026A 1. FC Köln2-3

Hamburger SV

WLLL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
19 Sep 2026H 1. FC Köln2-1
13 Sep 2026A RB Leipzig0-5
06 Sep 2026H FSV Mainz 050-5
29 Aug 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-2
Best odds for this section1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 54% · edge +11.2 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Hamburger SV to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
7
Check odds @ 7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Hamburger SV Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5
75%Hamburger SV Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 100% and Hamburger SV sit at 75% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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