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Dundee crestDundee

Premiership | Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Falkirk v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Falkirk host Dundee in a high-stakes Scottish Cup quarter-final clash, with Falkirk buoyed by a recent emphatic 5-1 win over Kilmarnock and Dundee United aiming to replicate their previous 3-2 victory at this venue. Falkirk's structured possession game contrasts with Dundee's direct, high-shot-volume approach, setting up a dynamic contest where both sides' offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities suggest an open, goal-rich encounter. The tactical battle will hinge on Falkirk's ability to control possession and exploit wide areas against Dundee's aggressive counter-attacks and set-piece threat.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams average over 12 shots per match, indicating high attacking volume.
  • Previous meeting ended 3-2, showing both sides can score.
  • Falkirk recently scored 5 goals in a dominant win, showing strong form.
  • Dundee United lead the league in shots per game, maintaining offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, increasing goal likelihood at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score selection is supported by strong attacking metrics from both Falkirk and Dundee, who average over 12 shots per game each. Their recent 3-2 meeting and Falkirk's 5-1 win highlight offensive potency and defensive frailties on both sides. The tactical contrast between Falkirk's possession-based play and Dundee's direct, high-tempo attacks further increases scoring chances. The model identifies a significant at 1.8 , reflecting a 76% chance of BTTS, well above the implied 55.6%, making this a compelling pick for a high-scoring cup tie.

High shot volumeBoth teams average 12+ shots per game
Strong positive
Recent high-scoring meeting3-2 scoreline in last encounter
Strong positive
Falkirk recent form5 goals scored in last match
Positive
Dundee offensive styleLeads league in shots per game
Strong positive
Defensive vulnerabilitiesBoth teams concede goals regularly
Positive
Main risk

Dundee United’s back three and wing-backs screams width and delivery, but it also dares Falkirk to hit the channels early and drag the centre-backs into races they don’t want.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture promises an open, high-tempo battle with both sides possessing the firepower and defensive lapses to concede. The Both Teams to Score market captures the essence of their contrasting styles and recent form perfectly.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams average over 12 shots per match, indicating high attacking volume.

Previous meeting ended 3-2, showing both sides can score.

Falkirk recently scored 5 goals in a dominant win, showing strong form.

Dundee United lead the league in shots per game, maintaining offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.4, with both teams frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend, combined with their attacking styles and recent high-scoring encounters, suggests a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals and supports the BTTS market strongly.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Falkirk1.2
Avg goals scored
Dundee1.4
Falkirk1.4
Avg goals conceded
Dundee1.2
Falkirk100%
BTTS rate
Dundee80%
Falkirk60%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both Falkirk and Dundee demonstrate high offensive output, averaging over 12 shots per game each, with recent matches featuring multiple goals including a 3-2 previous meeting and Falkirk's 5-1 win. Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and attacking styles suggest a match where goals will come from both sides, reinforcing the BTTS selection.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Dundee to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Falkirk Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Falkirk show a 100% BTTS rate and Dundee show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Rationale
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Falkirk

DWDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 3L
19 Sep 2026A ST Johnstone1-1
15 Sep 2026H Heart Of Midlothian2-1
05 Sep 2026A Dundee Utd1-1
02 Sep 2026H Rangers1-2
29 Aug 2026A Celtic1-2

Dundee

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
19 Sep 2026H Motherwell2-1
06 Sep 2026A Heart Of Midlothian1-2
02 Sep 2026H ST Johnstone1-1
30 Aug 2026H Hibernian1-2
22 Aug 2026A Dundee Utd2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Dundee to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Falkirk Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Falkirk to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form data shows Falkirk scoring 1.2 goals per game with a 100% BTTS rate, while Dundee averages 1.4 goals with an 80% BTTS rate. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating consistent involvement in high-scoring games. This recent output aligns with the expectation of goals from both sides in this cup tie.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Falkirk Over 2.5
60%Dundee Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.4, with both teams frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend, combined with their attacking styles and recent high-scoring encounters, suggests a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals and supports the BTTS market strongly.

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