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Clyde crestClyde
v
Dumbarton crestDumbarton

League Two | Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Clyde v Dumbarton Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Clyde and Dumbarton meet in a League Two clash where attacking intent and goal-scoring form set the stage for an open encounter. Clyde sits second in the table with 17 points, showcasing a potent offense averaging 2.6 goals per game, while Dumbarton, sixth with 12 points, also demonstrates a willingness to engage offensively. Both teams have a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a fixture likely to produce multiple scoring opportunities. The tactical setup suggests an emphasis on forward play, with defensive vulnerabilities on both sides potentially leading to a high-scoring game.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Clyde averages 2.6 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating open play.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Clyde boasts a 100% BTTS rate, Dumbarton 60%, supporting goal exchanges.
  • Recent form shows both teams involved in high-scoring matches, aligning with Over 3.5 goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 54.5% chance against an implied market probability of 47.6%, offering a 6.9% . Both Clyde and Dumbarton have consistently participated in high-scoring games, with Clyde's attack and defense averaging 2.6 goals per match, and Dumbarton maintaining an 80% over 2.5 goals rate. The offensive openness and defensive concessions from both sides underpin the likelihood of at least four goals, making this an attractive over bet with solid .

Model Chance54.5% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+6.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.5% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+6.9 pts)
Positive
Value Edge54.5% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+6.9 pts)
Strong positive
Clyde Goals For/Against2.6 per game
Strong positive
Dumbarton Over 2.5 Rate80%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open, attacking contest given Clyde's strong offensive output and Dumbarton's willingness to engage in open play. The data supports a high-scoring game, with both teams prone to conceding and scoring multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive openness

“Clyde's potent attack combined with Dumbarton's vulnerability at the back sets the stage for a goal-laden match. The statistical trends strongly favor a high-scoring outcome, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical and data-backed choice.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Clyde averages 2.6 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating open play.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

Clyde boasts a 100% BTTS rate, Dumbarton 60%, supporting goal exchanges.

Recent form shows both teams involved in high-scoring matches, aligning with Over 3.5 goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a history of relatively open matches.
  • Both teams' recent form and goal-scoring rates suggest the tempo and attacking intent will likely push the total goals beyond 3.5 in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Clyde2.6
Avg goals scored
Dumbarton1.6
Clyde2.6
Avg goals conceded
Dumbarton1.4
Clyde100%
BTTS rate
Dumbarton60%
Clyde80%
Over 2.5 goals
Dumbarton80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 48% · edge +6.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have shown a strong propensity for goals, with Clyde's matches featuring a 100% BTTS rate and Dumbarton at 60%. The combination of high scoring and frequent goal exchanges supports the expectation of multiple goals, aligning well with the Over 3.5 Goals market.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Dumbarton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Dumbarton to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Clyde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
The 54.5% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+6.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Clyde and 80% for Dumbarton, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League Two hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Clyde

LDWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 2L
03 Oct 2026A Elgin City2-6
19 Sep 2026A Stirling Albion1-1
12 Sep 2026H Kelty Hearts4-1
05 Sep 2026H Edinburgh City3-2
29 Aug 2026A Spartans3-3

Dumbarton

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 5L
03 Oct 2026H Forfar Athletic2-1
19 Sep 2026H Spartans3-0
12 Sep 2026A Stranraer1-3
05 Sep 2026H Elgin City2-1
29 Aug 2026A Annan Athletic0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Dumbarton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Dumbarton to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Clyde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Clyde to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Recent form data shows both teams involved in matches with high goal totals, with Clyde averaging 2.6 goals for and against per game and Dumbarton maintaining an 80% rate of games over 2.5 goals. This recent trend underlines the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Clyde Over 2.5
80%Dumbarton Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a history of relatively open matches. Both teams' recent form and goal-scoring rates suggest the tempo and attacking intent will likely push the total goals beyond 3.5 in this fixture.

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