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Switzerland crestSwitzerland
v
Canada crestCanada

World Cup | Wed 24 Jun, 20:00

Switzerland v Canada Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 01:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Switzerland face Canada in World Cup on Wed 24 Jun, 20:00. Switzerland and Canada set up a proper Group B tension point.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Rationale: Switzerland to Win Switzerland entering this decisive fixture as analytical favourites is heavily supported by underlying offensive metrics

  • At 29/20, Switzerland Win implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • Canada have conceded only 12 goals across their last 20 matches, keeping 11 clean sheets and averaging just 0.6 goals against per game.
  • Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Switzerland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Rationale: Switzerland to Win Switzerland entering this decisive fixture as analytical favourites is heavily supported by underlying offensive metrics is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 41% while the model sits nearer 33% (-7.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +18.9 pts edge at 1.75.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 33% for Switzerland Win sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Switzerland Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Canada have conceded only that scoring level across their last 20 matches, keeping 11 clean sheets and averaging just 0.6 goals against per game.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 41% implied
Negative
Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Canada have conceded only 12 goals across their last.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Switzerland Win is the preferred angle because canada have conceded only that scoring level across their last 20 matches, keeping 11 clean sheets and averaging just that scoring level against per game. Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Switzerland Win angle more than a raw possession edge. It suggests not just attacking quality, but the ability to stay patient, adjust the rhythm and punish a game once it begins to open up.

Main risk

It suggests not just attacking quality, but the ability to stay patient, adjust the rhythm and punish a game once it begins to open up.

Key Data Signals

Switzerland Win evidence

Canada have conceded only 12 goals across their last 20 matches, keeping 11 clean sheets and averaging just.

Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Switzerland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Switzerland Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Switzerland2.5
    Avg goals scored
    Canada3.5
    Switzerland1
    Avg goals conceded
    Canada0.5
    Switzerland100%
    BTTS rate
    Canada50%
    Switzerland50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Canada50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 57% · edge +18.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Switzerland

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    18 Jun 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina4-1
    13 Jun 2026A Qatar1-1

    Canada

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    18 Jun 2026H Qatar6-0
    12 Jun 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina1-1
    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 44% · edge -10.6 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Switzerland732104
    2Canada431115
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 44% · edge -10.6 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Switzerland to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Switzerland7
    Avg corners for
    Canada9
    Switzerland10
    Avg total corners
    Canada13
    Switzerland1
    Avg yellow cards
    Canada2
    Switzerland13
    Avg shots
    Canada13
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Switzerland wins
    0Draws
    0Canada wins
    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 44% · edge -10.6 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Switzerland to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Switzerland6
    Played
    Canada5
    Switzerland1.7
    Avg goals for
    Canada1.8
    Switzerland1
    Avg goals against
    Canada1.2
    Switzerland2
    Clean sheets
    Canada2
    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 44% · edge -10.6 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Switzerland to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Switzerland Over 2.5
    50%Canada Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Switzerland sit at 50% and Canada sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.