Penybont

FC Santa Coloma

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 09 Jul, 19:45

Penybont v FC Santa Coloma Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 14:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Penybont face FC Santa Coloma in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 09 Jul, 19:45. Santa Coloma carry structural efficiency but are winless in five, making another competitive scoring stalemate highly plausible at the Cardiff City Stadium. Penybont carry a strong home record but Santa Coloma hold structural supremacy through superior past knockout wins.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

At 1/1, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
In a tie that may not produce many clean chances, that familiarity could be valuable.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. In a tie that may not produce many clean chances, that familiarity could be valuable.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 50% implied

Neutral

In a tie that may not produce many clean.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge +5.8 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because pen-y-Bont’s recent matches lean low-scoring, with their last six all-competitions sequence showing an average of 1.5 total goals, that scoring level scored and 0.67 conceded. Venables is an obvious focal point, not only because he scored in the play-off final, but also because he was on the scoresheet when these sides first met in 2023.

Main risk

Venables is an obvious focal point, not only because he scored in the play-off final, but also because he was on the scoresheet when these sides first met in 2023.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Pen-y-Bont’s recent matches lean low-scoring, with their last six all-competitions sequence showing an average of 1.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Penybont wins

1Draws

1FC Santa Coloma wins

20 Jul 2023FC Santa Coloma v Penybont2-0

13 Jul 2023Penybont v FC Santa Coloma1-1

Best odds for this sectionPenybont to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

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DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

FC Santa Coloma to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

The head-to-head sample gives context for Penybont to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Penybont

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Penybont yet.

FC Santa Coloma

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FC Santa Coloma yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.6 pts

1.53

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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Penybont Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

Penybont to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

FC Santa Coloma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.78

Check odds @ 1.78

DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

FC Santa Coloma to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Penybont-

Avg goals scored

FC Santa Coloma-

Penybont-

Avg goals conceded

FC Santa Coloma-

Penybont-

BTTS rate

FC Santa Coloma-

Penybont-

Over 2.5 goals

FC Santa Coloma-

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 51% · edge +4.5 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%

Check odds @ 2

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPenybont Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4 pts

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

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Penybont to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

FC Santa Coloma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.78

Check odds @ 1.78

DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

FC Santa Coloma to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Penybont Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Penybont2

Played

FC Santa Coloma4

Penybont0

Avg goals for

FC Santa Coloma1.8

Penybont2

Avg goals against

FC Santa Coloma2.3

Penybont0

Clean sheets

FC Santa Coloma2

Best odds for this sectionPenybont Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4 pts

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

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Penybont to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

FC Santa Coloma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.78

Check odds @ 1.78

FC Santa Coloma to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Season data supports Penybont Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Penybont Over 2.5

-FC Santa Coloma Over 2.5

2H2H avg goals

In a tie that may not produce many clean chances, that familiarity could be valuable.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Penybont v FC Santa Coloma Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Penybont

FC Santa Coloma

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Penybont v FC Santa Coloma Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Penybont

FC Santa Coloma

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Prediction context

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