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Dundalk crestDundalk
v
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 30 Oct, 19:45

Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers host Dundalk in a Premier Division clash shaped by contrasting league positions and tactical approaches. Shamrock Rovers, leading the table with strong home form and possession control, aim to convert territorial control into clear chances. Dundalk, sitting fourth, bring a potent and efficient attack, having scored in six consecutive matches despite less possession. The tactical battle will hinge on Shamrock Rovers' ability to break down Dundalk's compact defence and Dundalk's capacity to exploit transitions. Both teams have shown scoring consistency, setting the stage for a competitive encounter at Tallaght Stadium.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Shamrock Rovers average 67.7% possession and 15.7 attempts per game in last 10 matches
  • Dundalk have scored in six consecutive games, netting nine goals in that span
  • Both teams average 1.3 goals per game recently, supporting a BTTS scenario
  • Shamrock Rovers have a stronger defensive record but Dundalk’s attack is efficient and dangerous

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Shamrock Rovers to win with both teams scoring due to their dominant possession and home form combined with Dundalk’s consistent scoring threat. Shamrock Rovers control territory and create numerous attempts, while Dundalk’s efficient attack and recent scoring streak make goals likely at both ends. The price offers strong value given the 50.5% versus a 30.3% implied probability, reflecting a well-balanced tactical contest with scoring opportunities for both sides. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Home possession and attacking volume67.7% possession, 15.7 attempts per game
Strong positive
Dundalk scoring consistency6 consecutive matches with goals
Strong positive
Recent goals per game1.3 goals each team
Positive
Price vs model chance40.9% model chance vs 30.3% implied (+10.6 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Shamrock Rovers’ home control and possession control provide a solid foundation for victory, but Dundalk’s consistent scoring threat ensures goals at both ends. The tactical battle will test Shamrock Rovers’ ability to break down a compact defence while managing transitions. This combination of form and style supports the selection of Shamrock Rovers to win with both teams scoring.

Main risk

Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk show similar scoring consistency but differ in recent match outcomes.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match tactical balance and scoring likelihood

“This fixture promises a tactical chess match where Shamrock Rovers’ possession superiority meets Dundalk’s efficient attack, making a home win with goals at both ends a compelling outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Shamrock Rovers average 67.7% possession and 15.7 attempts per game in last 10 matches

Dundalk have scored in six consecutive games, netting nine goals in that span

Both teams average 1.3 goals per game recently, supporting a BTTS scenario

Shamrock Rovers have a stronger defensive record but Dundalk’s attack is efficient and dangerous

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.7, indicating relatively low-scoring, tactical contests.
  • However, both teams’ recent 80% over 2.5 goals rates suggest an uptick in attacking tempo and goal opportunities, making an Over 2.5 goals trend plausible for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundalk1
Avg goals scored
Shamrock Rovers2.4
Dundalk2.4
Avg goals conceded
Shamrock Rovers1.2
Dundalk80%
BTTS rate
Shamrock Rovers60%
Dundalk80%
Over 2.5 goals
Shamrock Rovers80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have averaged 1.3 goals per game recently, with Shamrock Rovers conceding 1.2 and Dundalk 2.4 goals per match in recent form. Dundalk’s six-match scoring streak and Shamrock Rovers’ attacking attempts support a scenario where both sides find the net, aligning with the BTTS expectation.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 63% · edge +13.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Shamrock Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 40.9% for Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 30.3% implied by the current price (+10.6 pts). Shamrock Rovers need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dundalk on 1 and Shamrock Rovers on 12. Dundalk’s recurring defensive lapses invite Shamrock Rovers to attack with .
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundalk

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
23 Oct 2026A Derry City1-2
17 Oct 2026A Sligo Rovers1-1
02 Oct 2026H Bohemians1-2
18 Sep 2026H Shelbourne2-3
14 Sep 2026H St Patrick's Athl.0-4

Shamrock Rovers

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
23 Oct 2026H Sligo Rovers4-0
16 Oct 2026A Galway United0-2
12 Oct 2026H Bohemians2-1
08 Oct 2026H Drogheda United3-1
18 Sep 2026H Waterford3-2
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 63% · edge +13.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Shamrock Rovers have collected 12 points in recent matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game while conceding 1.2, reflecting strong form and defensive solidity. Dundalk’s form is less robust with 1 point recently and a higher goals-against rate of 2.4, but their 80% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates signal continued attacking threat despite defensive vulnerabilities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Dundalk Over 2.5
80%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.7, indicating relatively low-scoring, tactical contests. However, both teams’ recent 80% over 2.5 goals rates suggest an uptick in attacking tempo and goal opportunities, making an Over 2.5 goals trend plausible for this fixture.

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