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Grenoble crestGrenoble
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Dijon crestDijon

Ligue 2 | Fri 30 Oct, 19:00

Grenoble v Dijon Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dijon visits Grenoble in this Ligue 2 clash aiming to extend their recent strong run. Dijon sits comfortably in 9th place with 12 points, showing a potent attack averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Grenoble struggles near the relegation zone with just 8 points and a modest 0.6 goals scored per match. Dijon’s offensive and Grenoble’s defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for an away win, though Grenoble’s home resilience and tactical adjustments could add some uncertainty to the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Dijon to Win

  • Dijon has a 70% to win, with strong value at 2.2 .
  • Dijon averages 2.4 goals per game versus Grenoble's 0.6, highlighting attacking superiority.
  • Grenoble concedes 1.4 goals per game, Dijon concedes 2.2, indicating open play potential.
  • Dijon’s recent form yields 9 points compared to Grenoble’s 4, showing momentum advantage.
  • Dijon’s shot volume (14 per game) and shots on target (4.6) surpass Grenoble’s (9.2 and 2 respectively).

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Dijon to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking output, and shot volume compared to Grenoble. Dijon’s ability to create more chances and convert them, combined with Grenoble’s struggles to score and defend effectively, underpins this selection. The at 2.2 offer a positive of 24.5%, making this a compelling pick based on both statistical evidence and tactical context. No price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake approach.

Model Chance60.5% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance60.5% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge60.5% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormDijon 9 pts vs Grenoble 4 pts
Positive
Goal ScoringDijon 2.4 vs Grenoble 0.6 goals/game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Dijon’s attacking prowess and superior recent form make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their higher shot volume and goal-scoring rate contrast sharply with Grenoble’s struggles, suggesting Dijon’s offensive quality will be decisive in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Dijon’s attacking control and Grenoble’s defensive challenges

“Dijon’s consistent offensive threat, led by key attackers, combined with Grenoble’s defensive frailties, points strongly towards an away win. Their ability to generate shots and convert chances should prove the difference.”

Key Data Signals

Dijon to Win evidence

Dijon has a 70% to win, with strong value at 2.2 .

Dijon averages 2.4 goals per game versus Grenoble's 0.6, highlighting attacking superiority.

Grenoble concedes 1.4 goals per game, Dijon concedes 2.2, indicating open play potential.

Dijon’s recent form yields 9 points compared to Grenoble’s 4, showing momentum advantage.

What To Watch In The Data

Dijon to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Dijon’s games have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking tempo and Grenoble’s defensive vulnerabilities.
  • This trend supports expectations of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with Dijon’s offensive style.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Grenoble0.6
Avg goals scored
Dijon2.4
Grenoble1.4
Avg goals conceded
Dijon2.2
Grenoble40%
BTTS rate
Dijon100%
Grenoble20%
Over 2.5 goals
Dijon100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Dijon’s matches have seen a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and BTTS rate, indicating open, high-scoring games. Grenoble’s low scoring but moderate conceding rate suggests Dijon’s attack could exploit defensive gaps, making goals likely in this fixture.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDijon to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Dijon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 60.5% for Dijon to Win sits against roughly 45.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Dijon have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Grenoble.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Grenoble

LLLDW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
23 Oct 2026A PAU1-2
16 Oct 2026H Boulogne0-2
09 Oct 2026A Montpellier0-2
18 Sep 2026H Clermont Foot1-1
11 Sep 2026A Rodez1-0

Dijon

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
24 Oct 2026H Rodez1-2
16 Oct 2026A Reims2-4
12 Oct 2026H Metz4-2
18 Sep 2026A Annecy2-1
11 Sep 2026H Laval3-2
Market aligned with main pickDijon to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Dijon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Dijon’s recent form is strong with 9 points from recent matches, contrasting with Grenoble’s 4 points. This momentum difference suggests Dijon is better positioned to control the game and secure a win, reflecting and tactical execution.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Grenoble Over 2.5
100%Dijon Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Dijon’s games have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking tempo and Grenoble’s defensive vulnerabilities. This trend supports expectations of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with Dijon’s offensive style.

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