Football Stats Hub

ACV crestACV
v
AFC Amsterdam crestAFC Amsterdam

KNVB Beker | Thu 29 Oct, 19:00

ACV v AFC Amsterdam Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 09:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This KNVB Beker clash features ACV hosting AFC Amsterdam in a fixture where attacking intent is evident from both sides. ACV has scored 4 goals and conceded just 1 in recent matches, maintaining a perfect record of games going over 2.5 goals. AFC Amsterdam also shows offensive promise with 4 goals scored and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals on average. The tactical setup suggests open play with both teams capable of creating chances, setting the stage for a lively encounter with multiple goals likely.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • ACV has a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
  • AFC Amsterdam has scored 4 goals and conceded 0.5 goals on average in recent games.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.5 goals per match, indicating goal potential.
  • Both teams show attacking tendencies with ACV’s matches consistently high scoring.
  • Model is strong at 69%, with positive value at current .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by ACV’s perfect recent record of high-scoring games and AFC Amsterdam’s balanced attack and defense. The head-to-head average of 2.5 goals per match further underlines the likelihood of multiple goals. The current of 1.6 offer positive value with a 6.5% edge, making this a statistically and tactically sound selection for goal bettors.

ACV Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
AFC Amsterdam Goals For/Against4 scored, 0.5 conceded
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.5 goals per match
Positive
Model Confidence69% chance
Strong positive
Value Edge69% model chance vs 62.5% implied (+6.5 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as ACV’s strong offensive form meets AFC Amsterdam’s solid defense. The data shows a consistent trend of multiple goals in recent matches and head-to-head encounters, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice for this cup fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“ACV’s attacking consistency combined with AFC Amsterdam’s ability to both score and concede suggests a lively match with plenty of goalmouth action. This fixture is well set up for Over 2.5 Goals given the recent scoring patterns and tactical openness.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

ACV has a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.

AFC Amsterdam has scored 4 goals and conceded 0.5 goals on average in recent games.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.5 goals per match, indicating goal potential.

Both teams show attacking tendencies with ACV’s matches consistently high scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5 per match, indicating a trend toward multiple goals.
  • This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo and attacking openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ACV4
Avg goals scored
AFC Amsterdam4
ACV1
Avg goals conceded
AFC Amsterdam0.5
ACV100%
BTTS rate
AFC Amsterdam50%
ACV100%
Over 2.5 goals
AFC Amsterdam50%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 63% · edge +6.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 87%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
ACV’s recent matches all exceeded 2.5 goals and featured both teams scoring, while AFC Amsterdam’s games show moderate scoring and conceding rates. The head-to-head average of 2.5 goals supports a game with multiple scoring opportunities and potential BTTS scenarios.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 63% · edge +6.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
ACV Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
ACV to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
AFC Amsterdam Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
AFC Amsterdam to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 69% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 62.5% implied by the current price (+6.5 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for ACV and 50% for AFC Amsterdam, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ACV

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Sep 2026H Hoogeveen2-1
02 Sep 2026H Westlandia6-1

AFC Amsterdam

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Sep 2026A Groene Ster6-1
01 Sep 2026A Be Quick 18872-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 75% · edge -6.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
ACV Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
ACV to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
AFC Amsterdam Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
AFC Amsterdam to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
4
Check odds @ 4
ACV’s recent form is marked by 100% of matches going over 2.5 goals and scoring 4 goals while conceding only 1. AFC Amsterdam has also scored 4 goals with a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.5 goals on average, indicating both sides are in good attacking and defensive shape for a high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%ACV Over 2.5
50%AFC Amsterdam Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5 per match, indicating a trend toward multiple goals. This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a tempo and attacking openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…