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SS Reyes crestSS Reyes
v
CD Coria crestCD Coria

Copa del Rey | Thu 29 Oct, 18:00

SS Reyes v CD Coria Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 09:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Copa del Rey clash between SS Reyes and CD Coria presents an intriguing offensive contest despite limited recent form data. Both teams have shown tendencies toward open play in cup fixtures, suggesting a potential for multiple goals. The tactical approach likely favors attacking intent as both sides seek progression, with defensive solidity less assured given the nature of knockout football. The absence of comprehensive data means that live match developments and line-up announcements will be crucial to confirm attacking strengths and vulnerabilities before kickoff.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Recent head-to-head average goals stand at 2.75 per match, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams have limited recent form data, but cup matches often encourage open, attacking play.
  • Model projects a 53.2% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, with a positive of 4.4%.
  • Data quality is limited for both sides, so tactical context and match stakes are key factors.
  • The price at 2.05 offers a standard stake opportunity with no major warning flags.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a slight edge for Over 2.5 Goals with a 53.2% probability, supported by a head-to-head average of 2.75 goals across four meetings. Despite limited recent form and player data, the knockout nature of the Copa del Rey encourages offensive approaches, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. The current reflect a reasonable value opportunity without significant price caution. However, the thin data samples mean that line-up and tactical details will be important to monitor for confirmation.

Head-to-Head Goals Average2.75 goals per match
Positive
Model Probability for Over 2.553.2% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+4.4 pts)
Positive
Value Edge53.2% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+4.4 pts)
Positive
Data QualityLimited data for both teams
Neutral
Price Sensitivity53.2% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+4.4 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and competitive Copa del Rey fixture where both SS Reyes and CD Coria will seek to assert attacking control. The historical average goals and the knockout stakes suggest a game prone to multiple scoring opportunities, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound selection for this match.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Offensive tactics and knockout match dynamics

“The knockout format often loosens defensive rigidity, and with both teams lacking recent form data, the emphasis will be on offensive intent and seizing chances, which supports a bet on Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Recent head-to-head average goals stand at 2.75 per match, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.

Both teams have limited recent form data, but cup matches often encourage open, attacking play.

Model projects a 53.2% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, with a positive of 4.4%.

Data quality is limited for both sides, so tactical context and match stakes are key factors.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last four meetings between SS Reyes and CD Coria, the average goals scored per match is 2.75, indicating a trend toward moderately high-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo that favors goal opportunities, likely driven by open play and transitional attacks common in cup fixtures, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SS Reyes

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for SS Reyes yet.

CD Coria

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for CD Coria yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 74% · edge -4.4 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
SS Reyes to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
SS Reyes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
CD Coria to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
CD Coria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data is scarce for both SS Reyes and CD Coria, making it difficult to assess current momentum. However, knockout cup matches often see teams adopt more attacking approaches regardless of league form, which aligns with the model's projection for Over 2.5 Goals. The lack of recent output data increases reliance on tactical context and historical trends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SS Reyes-
Avg goals scored
CD Coria-
SS Reyes-
Avg goals conceded
CD Coria-
SS Reyes-
BTTS rate
CD Coria-
SS Reyes-
Over 2.5 goals
CD Coria-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 49% · edge +4.4 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The average of 2.75 goals in the last four head-to-head matches indicates a tendency for this fixture to produce multiple goals. Although recent team scoring data is limited, the Copa del Rey's knockout nature typically encourages attacking play, increasing the likelihood of both teams contributing to the scoreline and pushing totals over 2.5 goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 49% · edge +4.4 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
SS Reyes to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
SS Reyes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
CD Coria to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
CD Coria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The 53.2% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 48.8% implied by the current price (+4.4 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-SS Reyes Over 2.5
-CD Coria Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
Over the last four meetings between SS Reyes and CD Coria, the average goals scored per match is 2.75, indicating a trend toward moderately high-scoring games. This sample suggests a tempo that favors goal opportunities, likely driven by open play and transitional attacks common in cup fixtures, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle.

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