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Le Havre crestLe Havre
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Fri 30 Oct, 18:00

Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 12:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side's recent resilience at Stade Océane meets PSG's dominant title charge. Le Havre have earned points in five consecutive home matches, showcasing a gritty defensive approach and consistent scoring. PSG arrive as league leaders, averaging over two goals per game and controlling possession with nearly 69% ball share. The tactical battle will see PSG's relentless attacking pressure tested by Le Havre's home solidity and set-piece strength, setting the stage for a high-tempo encounter with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Le Havre have scored in five straight home matches, showing consistent offensive threat.
  • PSG average 2.26 goals per game with 17.7 shots per match, indicating strong attacking output.
  • PSG concede nearly one goal per game despite control, suggesting vulnerability at the back.
  • Le Havre's home form includes five consecutive matches with points, highlighting defensive resilience.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score selection aligns with PSG's high attacking volume and Le Havre's proven ability to score at home. PSG's average of 2.2 goals per game and Le Havre's 60% BTTS rate support the likelihood of goals from both sides. The model values this bet at 2.5 with a 70% chance, reflecting strong in a match where PSG's control meets Le Havre's home grit. No price warnings apply, making this a solid value bet based on current data and tactical context.

Model Chance70% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance70% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Le Havre Home ScoringConsistent scoring in last 5 home matches
Positive
PSG Attacking Volume17.7 shots per game, 2.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Defensive VulnerabilityPSG concede nearly 1 goal per game
Positive
Main risk

Trade-off: High reward but very low probability of success, as a single late goal can completely invalidate the prediction.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring dynamics

“This fixture is shaped by PSG's overwhelming possession and shot creation against Le Havre's home grit and scoring consistency, making Both Teams to Score a compelling market to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Le Havre have scored in five straight home matches, showing consistent offensive threat.

PSG average 2.26 goals per game with 17.7 shots per match, indicating strong attacking output.

PSG concede nearly one goal per game despite control, suggesting vulnerability at the back.

Le Havre's home form includes five consecutive matches with points, highlighting defensive resilience.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last eight meetings, the average goals scored is 3.88, indicating a trend toward high-scoring encounters.
  • Both teams have maintained a 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting matches involving these sides often feature multiple goals.
  • The tempo and attacking styles of PSG combined with Le Havre's home resilience support the likelihood of an open game with several scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Le Havre1.2
Avg goals scored
Paris Saint Germain2.2
Le Havre2.2
Avg goals conceded
Paris Saint Germain0.6
Le Havre60%
BTTS rate
Paris Saint Germain60%
Le Havre60%
Over 2.5 goals
Paris Saint Germain60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by PSG's average of 2.2 goals per game and Le Havre's steady scoring at home. PSG's defensive concessions and Le Havre's ability to score in five consecutive home matches create a scenario ripe for goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS prediction.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 fixtures and predictionsLe Havre v Paris Saint Germain predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Le Havre Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Le Havre to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 70% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Le Havre show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score Rationale
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Le Havre

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 6L
25 Oct 2026A Marseille3-4
18 Oct 2026H Auxerre1-3
10 Oct 2026A Lille0-1
19 Sep 2026A Toulouse2-3
12 Sep 2026H Angers0-0

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 1L
26 Oct 2026H Lyon2-0
17 Oct 2026A Strasbourg3-1
10 Oct 2026H Le Mans3-1
20 Sep 2026A Marseille2-1
13 Sep 2026A Stade Brestois 291-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.62
Check odds @ 4.62
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Le Havre Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Le Havre to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Recent form data shows PSG securing 15 points in their last matches with a strong goal difference, scoring 2.2 goals while conceding only 0.6 per game. Le Havre have earned 1 point recently, scoring 1.2 goals but conceding 2.2, highlighting their defensive challenges. Both teams maintain a 60% rate for over 2.5 goals and BTTS, supporting expectations for an open, goal-involved game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Le Havre Over 2.5
60%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
3.88H2H avg goals
In the last eight meetings, the average goals scored is 3.88, indicating a trend toward high-scoring encounters. Both teams have maintained a 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting matches involving these sides often feature multiple goals. The tempo and attacking styles of PSG combined with Le Havre's home resilience support the likelihood of an open game with several scoring opportunities.

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