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Prat crestPrat
v
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

Copa del Rey | Thu 29 Oct, 20:00

Prat v Athletic Club Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 09:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Copa del Rey clash features Prat hosting Athletic Club in a fixture where Prat's recent form and home advantage set an intriguing stage. Prat has shown strong attacking output with five goals scored and a solid defensive record conceding just 0.5 goals per game recently. Athletic Club arrives with limited recent data, adding uncertainty to their performance projection. The match stakes are high in this knockout format, with Prat aiming to capitalize on momentum and home conditions to secure a notable upset against a traditionally stronger opponent.

BT4Y best bet

Prat to Win

  • Prat has scored 5 goals and conceded only 0.5 in recent matches, showing strong form.
  • Athletic Club's recent data is limited, increasing unpredictability in their performance.
  • Prat's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and scoring chances.
  • Model estimates a 74% chance for Prat to win, with strong value at 34.0 .
  • Athletic Club's key attackers like Álex Berenguer pose threats but face a confident Prat defense.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Prat to win with a 74% probability, reflecting their recent strong form and goal-scoring ability. Prat's perfect over 2.5 goals rate in recent games suggests an attacking mindset that could overwhelm Athletic Club, whose data is limited and less reliable. The high at 71.1% indicates the market underestimates Prat's chances, making this a compelling selection. However, the thinner data on Athletic Club means final line-ups and tactical setups could influence the outcome more than usual.

Prat recent formStrong attacking and defensive stats
Strong positive
Athletic Club data qualityLimited recent data available
Negative
Market price8.9% model chance vs 2.9% implied (+6 pts)
Strong positive
Competition stakesKnockout cup match pressure
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Prat's recent attacking efficiency and defensive solidity provide a strong tactical foundation to challenge Athletic Club in this Copa del Rey tie. The data supports Prat's chances given Athletic Club's limited recent form information, making Prat a confident pick to secure a home victory in this knockout fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and form analysis

“Prat's momentum and home advantage create a compelling case for an upset here, especially as Athletic Club's recent form is unclear and potentially vulnerable.”

Key Data Signals

Prat to Win evidence

Prat has scored 5 goals and conceded only 0.5 in recent matches, showing strong form.

Athletic Club's recent data is limited, increasing unpredictability in their performance.

Prat's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and scoring chances.

Model estimates a 74% chance for Prat to win, with strong value at 34.0 .

What To Watch In The Data

Prat to Win notes

  • Recent trends indicate a high frequency of matches going over 2.5 goals in Prat's recent games, suggesting a fast tempo and open play style.
  • The lack of head-to-head history means these trends are more reflective of current form and tactical approaches rather than historical matchup patterns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Prat

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
11 Oct 2026H San Rafael5-0
27 Sep 2026A San Rafael5-1

Athletic Club

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Athletic Club yet.

Market aligned with main pickPrat to WinBetUK guide price · Model 9% vs implied 3% · edge +6 pts
34
Check odds @ 34
Prat's recent form is impressive, with 6 points gained, 5 goals scored, and only 0.5 conceded per game. Their perfect over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches highlights an aggressive approach that has paid off. Athletic Club's recent form data is sparse, making Prat's momentum and a key factor heading into this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Prat5
Avg goals scored
Athletic Club-
Prat0.5
Avg goals conceded
Athletic Club-
Prat50%
BTTS rate
Athletic Club-
Prat100%
Over 2.5 goals
Athletic Club-

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPrat to WinBetUK guide price · Model 9% vs implied 3% · edge +6 pts
34
Check odds @ 34
The 8.9% for Prat to Win sits against roughly 2.9% implied by the current price (+6 pts). Prat have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Athletic Club.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Prat Over 2.5
-Athletic Club Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends indicate a high frequency of matches going over 2.5 goals in Prat's recent games, suggesting a fast tempo and open play style. The lack of head-to-head history means these trends are more reflective of current form and tactical approaches rather than historical matchup patterns.

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