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GVVV Veenendaal crestGVVV Veenendaal
v
Noordwijk crestNoordwijk

KNVB Beker | Thu 29 Oct, 19:00

GVVV Veenendaal v Noordwijk Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 09:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

GVVV Veenendaal and Noordwijk meet in the KNVB Beker with both sides showing strong defensive discipline in recent matches. GVVV has kept clean sheets while scoring four goals in their last fixtures, whereas Noordwijk has also maintained a solid defensive record with no goals conceded and limited scoring. This clash promises a tactical battle with cautious approaches from both teams, aiming to avoid early mistakes in this knockout competition. The defensive solidity and low goal threat from both sides set the stage for a tight, low-scoring encounter under the cup pressure.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • GVVV Veenendaal has not conceded in recent matches, showing defensive strength.
  • Noordwijk also boasts clean sheets with minimal goals scored, indicating cautious play.
  • Both teams have a 0% BTTS rate recently, supporting a no BTTS outcome.
  • GVVV’s recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, but Noordwijk’s defensive style counters this.
  • Historical H2H average goals stand at 2.67, suggesting moderate scoring but with defensive caution.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors BTTS No with a 68% chance, reflecting both teams' recent defensive solidity and low BTTS rates. GVVV’s clean sheets and Noordwijk’s minimal goals conceded highlight a strong defensive focus. The price at 2.25 offers positive value given the 44.4% implied chance, making this a sensible pick supported by recent form and defensive statistics. No data limitations affect , and the model sees this as a standard stake opportunity without price warnings.

Model BTTS No chance68%
Strong positive
Implied market chance59.4% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent BTTS rate for both teams0%
Strong positive
GVVV defensive recordNo goals conceded recently
Strong positive
Noordwijk defensive record
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BTTS No is a logical choice given both teams’ recent defensive performances and low goal threat. GVVV’s attacking output is balanced by Noordwijk’s disciplined defense, suggesting a match where both sides may struggle to score. The data supports a cautious game with limited goal-scoring opportunities, making BTTS No a sound tactical and statistical pick.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive discipline and tactical caution

“This fixture’s defensive discipline and cautious tactics from both GVVV and Noordwijk make BTTS No a compelling selection, as neither side appears likely to concede in this tightly contested cup tie.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

GVVV Veenendaal has not conceded in recent matches, showing defensive strength.

Noordwijk also boasts clean sheets with minimal goals scored, indicating cautious play.

Both teams have a 0% BTTS rate recently, supporting a no BTTS outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • The last nine head-to-head matches average 2.67 goals, indicating moderate scoring historically.
  • However, recent trends and defensive form suggest a slower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, making Over 2.5 goals less likely despite historical averages.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

GVVV Veenendaal4
Avg goals scored
Noordwijk1
GVVV Veenendaal0
Avg goals conceded
Noordwijk0
GVVV Veenendaal0%
BTTS rate
Noordwijk0%
GVVV Veenendaal100%
Over 2.5 goals
Noordwijk0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Both teams have recorded 0% BTTS rates recently, with GVVV scoring but not conceding and Noordwijk maintaining clean sheets with minimal goals scored. This suggests a controlled goals environment where one or neither side scores, supporting the BTTS No outcome.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNoordwijk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 32% · edge +9.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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GVVV Veenendaal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
GVVV Veenendaal to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Noordwijk to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 59.4% for BTTS No sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). GVVV Veenendaal show a 0% BTTS rate and Noordwijk show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

GVVV Veenendaal

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Sep 2026H DVS 33 Ermelo4-0

Noordwijk

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Sep 2026H Frisia1-0
02 Sep 2026A GOES1-0
Best odds for this sectionNoordwijk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 32% · edge +9.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
GVVV Veenendaal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
GVVV Veenendaal to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Noordwijk to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form shows GVVV scoring four goals without conceding and Noordwijk keeping clean sheets with minimal goals scored. Both teams’ recent matches have not seen both teams scoring, highlighting defensive strength and supporting a BTTS No scenario.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%GVVV Veenendaal Over 2.5
0%Noordwijk Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
The last nine head-to-head matches average 2.67 goals, indicating moderate scoring historically. However, recent trends and defensive form suggest a slower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, making Over 2.5 goals less likely despite historical averages.

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